Another GOM Disturbance
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- lrak
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Another GOM Disturbance
Located around 25.49N 88.92W it's right on the heals of Emily. Is that possible?
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AKA karl
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
lrak wrote:Located around 25.49N 88.92W it's right on the heals of Emily. Is that possible?
not thing their only rain band of Emily moving east
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- lrak
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
floridasun78 wrote:lrak wrote:Located around 25.49N 88.92W it's right on the heals of Emily. Is that possible?
not thing their only rain band of Emily moving east
thank you....NetFlix time LOL
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AKA karl
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
There is quite an elongated trough extending all across the the GOM from west to east. It would not be beyond any stretch of the imagination that another vortex could spin up along that trough axis.
It is something to watch as the week progresses.
It is something to watch as the week progresses.
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
A few of the models are suggesting another low could develop somewhere along the old frontal trough. all keep it weak or dissipate it. I just want to start a new thread to keep us out of the Emily thread.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- lrak
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
Oooh model support. Dangit no NetFlix for now. LOL
this buoy is right under that red blow up in the central GOM http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42001
this buoy is right under that red blow up in the central GOM http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42001
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AKA karl
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- lrak
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
The blob is look healthy this late in the evening.
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AKA karl
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- lrak
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
tailgater wrote:A few of the models are suggesting another low could develop somewhere along the old frontal trough. all keep it weak or dissipate it. I just want to start a new thread to keep us out of the Emily thread.
thanks for posting the model support tailgater
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AKA karl
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
Doesn't look like much will come out of this. My best guess would be one or two minor lows spin up in the next 3-4 days. I've seen 18z solutions showing TX, LA and FL as well as just return flow surge.
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
puff puff puff the convection has continued in that same area for over 24 hours and there was a hint in the low clouds last night that a circulation might be developing. Could end up in the active forum sometime today.
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
Still some slight vorticity there this morning, if convection increases today and shear relaxes it could get some organization going. Something to watch.
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- tropicwatch
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
The shower activity and 850mb vorticity seem to be hand in hand this morning.
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- lrak
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
South Texas sure needs some rain. Which way will this thing go if it forms into a depression?
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AKA karl
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
lrak wrote:South Texas sure needs some rain. Which way will this thing go if it forms into a depression?
Hey Karl. NAM says Apalachicola. RGEM splits the energy with one piece going following the wake of Emily with another piece moving toward Santa Rosa County, FL.
Last edited by Steve on Tue Aug 01, 2017 9:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
it sure looks like something may be trying to get itself organized this morning in the central Gulf. IMO
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html
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- lrak
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
Steve wrote:lrak wrote:South Texas sure needs some rain. Which way will this thing go if it forms into a depression?
Hey Karl. NAM says Apalachicola. RGEM splits the energy with one piece going following the wake of Emily with another piece moving toward Santa Rosa Beach.
thank you Steve
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AKA karl
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- gatorcane
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
I agree it looks intriguing but the shear is keeping it in check for now and by the time the shear settles down it probably will be inland according to the models. I don't see one model that develops it either probably for those reasons.
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- lrak
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
Stormcenter wrote:it sure looks like something may be trying to get itself organized this morning in the central Gulf. IMO
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html
I agree the buoy to it's west is showing a west wind now.
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AKA karl
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Re: Another GOM Disturbance
But remember no model saw Emily forming just had it as a low pressure system....just saying.
gatorcane wrote:I agree it looks intriguing but the shear is keeping it in check for now and by the time the shear settles down it probably will be inland according to the models. I don't see one model that develops it either probably for those reasons.
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