Another GOM Disturbance

[lrak]

Located around 25.49N 88.92W it's right on the heals of Emily. Is that possible?

[floridasun78]

Located around 25.49N 88.92W it's right on the heals of Emily. Is that possible?

not thing their only rain band of Emily moving east

[lrak]

Located around 25.49N 88.92W it's right on the heals of Emily. Is that possible?

not thing their only rain band of Emily moving east

thank you....NetFlix time LOL

[northjaxpro]

There is quite an elongated trough extending all across the the GOM from west to east. It would not be beyond any stretch of the imagination that another vortex could spin up along that trough axis.

It is something to watch as the week progresses.

[tailgater]

A few of the models are suggesting another low could develop somewhere along the old frontal trough. all keep it weak or dissipate it. I just want to start a new thread to keep us out of the Emily thread.

[lrak]

Oooh model support. Dangit no NetFlix for now. LOL

this buoy is right under that red blow up in the central GOM http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42001

[lrak]

The blob is look healthy this late in the evening.

[lrak]

A few of the models are suggesting another low could develop somewhere along the old frontal trough. all keep it weak or dissipate it. I just want to start a new thread to keep us out of the Emily thread.

thanks for posting the model support tailgater

[Steve]

Doesn't look like much will come out of this. My best guess would be one or two minor lows spin up in the next 3-4 days. I've seen 18z solutions showing TX, LA and FL as well as just return flow surge.

[bamajammer4eva]

Channel 4 out of Dothan mentioned this earlier this afternoon.

[Nimbus]

puff puff puff the convection has continued in that same area for over 24 hours and there was a hint in the low clouds last night that a circulation might be developing. Could end up in the active forum sometime today.

[Dean4Storms]

Still some slight vorticity there this morning, if convection increases today and shear relaxes it could get some organization going. Something to watch.

[tropicwatch]

The shower activity and 850mb vorticity seem to be hand in hand this morning.

[lrak]

South Texas sure needs some rain. Which way will this thing go if it forms into a depression?

[Steve]

South Texas sure needs some rain. Which way will this thing go if it forms into a depression?

Hey Karl. NAM says Apalachicola. RGEM splits the energy with one piece going following the wake of Emily with another piece moving toward Santa Rosa County, FL.

[Stormcenter]

it sure looks like something may be trying to get itself organized this morning in the central Gulf. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html

[lrak]

South Texas sure needs some rain. Which way will this thing go if it forms into a depression?

Hey Karl. NAM says Apalachicola. RGEM splits the energy with one piece going following the wake of Emily with another piece moving toward Santa Rosa Beach.

thank you Steve

[gatorcane]

I agree it looks intriguing but the shear is keeping it in check for now and by the time the shear settles down it probably will be inland according to the models. I don't see one model that develops it either probably for those reasons.

[lrak]

it sure looks like something may be trying to get itself organized this morning in the central Gulf. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html

I agree the buoy to it's west is showing a west wind now.

[Stormcenter]

But remember no model saw Emily forming just had it as a low pressure system....just saying.

I agree it looks intriguing but the shear is keeping it in check for now and by the time the shear settles down it probably will be inland according to the models. I don't see one model that develops it either probably for those reasons.