Strong Tropical Wave Emerging off Africa (INVEST 99L is up)
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USTropics
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave Emerging off Africa
Something seems off the with 00z ECMWF forward speed. From the AEW's current position (~10N,15W) to the ECMWF's forecasted 144hr position (~15N, 60W) is ~3000 miles. That would mean this would have to average a forward speed of ~20 mph. Not out of the question, but seems unlikely, especially with the passing trough partially eroding the BH.
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AxaltaRacing24
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave Emerging off Africa
That thing was FLYING during that run. I am skeptical of a forward speed that quick.
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Kingarabian
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave Emerging off Africa
AxaltaRacing24 wrote:That thing was FLYING during that run. I am skeptical of a forward speed that quick.
Flying == dry air.
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AutoPenalti
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave Emerging off Africa
Looks like dry air is winning the battle once more.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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cycloneye
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave Emerging off Africa
06z GFS more bullish than 00z in 96 hours.
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cycloneye
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave Emerging off Africa
Hurricane at 150 hours.
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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave Emerging off Africa
00z UKMET still supporting significant development.
ECMWF's just doing its typical back-and-forth with MDR systems, when genesis comes closer it'll latch on. Forward speed also looks off compared to the UKMET and GFS.
ECMWF's just doing its typical back-and-forth with MDR systems, when genesis comes closer it'll latch on. Forward speed also looks off compared to the UKMET and GFS.
Last edited by Hypercane_Kyle on Thu Aug 03, 2017 5:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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cycloneye
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave Emerging off Africa
Landfall in Georgia.
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cycloneye
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave Emerging off Africa
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