Trough along the SE US Coast

[LarryWx]

Assuming that low east of Vero is the surface low, even the just released 12Z GFS is too far west since it, too, has the very weak low west of Vero on the peninsula as of the current time.

[Stormcenter]

So what is that swirl heading into the Gulf as I type this?


http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/d ... uration=12

[LarryWx]

So what is that swirl heading into the Gulf as I type this?


http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/d ... uration=12

To what swirl are you referring?

[tropicwatch]

Close to Miami

[jlauderdal]

the eye appears to be east of palm beach nearly stationary causing massive upwelling

[cycloneye]

2 PM EDT TWO:

A trough of low pressure just east of the Florida peninsula is
producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that
extends from the south Florida to the northern Bahama Islands and
into the southwest Atlantic. Although significant development is
not anticipated, this system could bring locally heavy rains to
portions of the Bahamas and Florida during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[jlauderdal]

2 PM EDT TWO:

A trough of low pressure just east of the Florida peninsula is
producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that
extends from the south Florida to the northern Bahama Islands and
into the southwest Atlantic. Although significant development is
not anticipated, this system could bring locally heavy rains to
portions of the Bahamas and Florida during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

thats a cya formation chance

[Stormcenter]

East of Miami

So what is that swirl heading into the Gulf as I type this?


http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/d ... uration=12

To what swirl are you referring?

[Stormcenter]

The rotation east of Miami is becoming more and more vigorous. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html

[jlauderdal]

The rotation east of Miami is becoming more and more vigorous. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html

meanwhile its drying out in sofla

[NDG]

The rotation east of Miami is becoming more and more vigorous. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html

There is no circulation east of Miami, look at the HR visible satellite loop, radar loop and surface reports.
Main circulation is east of east-central FL.

[NDG]

[Stormcenter]

Then please tell the NHC.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

The rotation east of Miami is becoming more and more vigorous. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html

There is no circulation east of Miami, look at the HR visible satellite loop, radar loop and surface reports.
Main circulation is east of east-central FL.

[jlauderdal]

Then please tell the NHC.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

The rotation east of Miami is becoming more and more vigorous. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html

There is no circulation east of Miami, look at the HR visible satellite loop, radar loop and surface reports.
Main circulation is east of east-central FL.

the nhc X is east of the lake not east of miami

[ronjon]

Starting to look real interesting on Melbourne RAD - circulation appears to be tightening up.

https://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/fl/melbourne/mlb/?region=pie

[NDG]

Then please tell the NHC.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

The rotation east of Miami is becoming more and more vigorous. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html

There is no circulation east of Miami, look at the HR visible satellite loop, radar loop and surface reports.
Main circulation is east of east-central FL.

Get your geography right, Miami is way south of the X

[NDG]

[tropicwatch]

The 850mb vorticity is becoming impressive.

[OuterBanker]

Haven't been paying much attention. Too busy today. But, just looked at this feature. Far better organized that 99L. Does seem to be heading due north instead of wnw like had been predicted. Looks like yesterdays GFS depicting this to ride the coast into the Carolina's is coming true. Could be interesting. Just hope it doesn't produce rain. We have had more than enough lately.

[stormhunter7]

Clearly deserves an invest tag IMO. Its moved nicely over the gulf stream today. Pretty images on goes-16!