Low in SE Texas

[CFLHurricane]

This low appears on the (awesome) GOES 16 feed to be dropping further south than the surface chart seems to forecast. Possible Gulf threat?

[lrak]

I've been watching it all day and I found in SE Texas a NE wind, SW wind, calm wind in the middle of the rotation, and a N wind. Also it has pushed thunderstorms offshore and not due to outflow boundaries? Emily part-deux?

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?pro ... x&loop=yes yet the lowest pressure I could find was 29.95.

[northjaxpro]

It is a 1012 mb non tropical Low Pressure area located near Galveston on a stationary frontal boundary . No development anticipated for the time being.

[lrak]

"No development anticipated for the time being." I like that last sentence it gives us something to watch. Thanks for the nice map!

[northjaxpro]

I will note that Flash Flood Watch in effect through tomorrow for much of Southeast TX region and rightfully so as Low Pressure area is just sitting there basically stationary, along with the frontal boundary. All that converging moisture in that region.

[lrak]

Yes I watched a video today of the flooding. Very bad situation, and I'm afraid if this moves a little closer to the coast even more moisture

The radar is looking like something wants free from the frontal boundary.

[Steve]

Yes I watched a video today of the flooding. Very bad situation, and I'm afraid if this moves a little closer to the coast even more moisture

I hope not. We've had 3 flash flood warnings (including #3 at the moment) in the last 2 weeks and have been nowhere as wet as 3-400 miles east of here. It's cost us 2 flooded cars out of 3 but luckily just mildewed floors and not flooded engines. There are apparently 8 broken pumping stations at the moment waiting on parts. That's probably not ideal heading into the beginning of the middle of August. I don't want to be on the east side of any low be it tropical or otherwise.

NAM doesn't do much with it. 12km shows another low dropping down from the Northern Rockies over the next couple of days - more toward Arkansas though. That could be the feature that enforces the front on the east coast and hopefully helps 99L recurve. HRR does show continued rains for Lake Charles and the Triangle over the next 18 hours, so y'all be careful over that way.

[lrak]

Yes I watched a video today of the flooding. Very bad situation, and I'm afraid if this moves a little closer to the coast even more moisture

I hope not. We've had 3 flash flood warnings (including #3 at the moment) in the last 2 weeks and have been nowhere as wet as 3-400 miles east of here. It's cost us 2 flooded cars out of 3 but luckily just mildewed floors and not flooded engines. There are apparently 8 broken pumping stations at the moment waiting on parts. That's probably not ideal heading into the beginning of the middle of August. I don't want to be on the east side of any low be it tropical or otherwise.

NAM doesn't do much with it though 12km shows another low dropping down from the Northern Rockies over the next couple of days. That could be the feature that enforces the front on the east coast and hopefully helps 99L recurve. HRR does show continued rains for Lake Charles and the Triangle over the next 18 hours, so y'all be careful over that way.

Wow, glad the engines didn't get hit but mildew - only Clorox and some water mixed in a spray bottle - is your best bet with no drying in the up coming days. Good luck.

[lrak]

some interesting weather reporting stations. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=ncht2 Offshore - http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42035

I hope this dissipates. Just west of the triangle they've received close to 6 inches based off Doppler radar.

Also convection has been on the increase and the virga has also increased to the west of Houston's radar which may indicate a larger disturbance?

It's about 10:15 pm and the virga now has a new cell starting up, this could get messy. Also when the virga hits the coast it starts to produce convection.

[lrak]

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=29.41&lon=-94.14&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1400&height=1000&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir2.pal&numframes=30&mapcolor=yellow

it's kinda late for this convection to continue?

water vapor loop

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=29.41&lon=-94.14&info=wv&zoom=1&width=1400&height=1000&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir2.pal&numframes=30&mapcolor=yellow