Storm by storm (through November 1), here is what I think:

Tropical Storm Arlene**Case FOR retirement:** None at all, despite 11 attempts

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Stayed far from land

**My probability of retirement:** 0%

**Verdict:** Tropical Storm Bret**Case FOR retirement:** Not much of any

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Very weak storm, not much land impact

**My probability of retirement:** 2%

**Verdict:** Tropical Storm Cindy**Case FOR retirement:** Some land impacts

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Weak storm, relatively low impact overall

**My probability of retirement:** 3%

**Verdict:** Tropical Storm Don**Case FOR retirement:** Not much of any (yeah, I know the political factor, but that may not be an issue in 2023)

**Case AGAINST retirement:** No real land impacts

**My probability of retirement:** 2%

**Verdict:** Tropical Storm Emily**Case FOR retirement:** Not much of any (if not retired after 1987, 1993 or 2005, definitely not now)

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Very weak storm, minimal land impacts

**My probability of retirement:** 2%

**Verdict:** Hurricane Franklin**Case FOR retirement:** Hurricane impact in central Mexico with some damage

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Overall damage not too significant; no fatalities

**My probability of retirement:** 5%

**Verdict:** Hurricane Gert**Case FOR retirement:** Not at all

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Never impacted land

**My probability of retirement:** 0%

**Verdict:** Major Hurricane Harvey**Case FOR retirement:** Catastrophic impacts from wind and flooding; deadly storm and top 5 costliest

**Case AGAINST retirement:** None at all

**My probability of retirement:** 100%

**Verdict:** Major Hurricane Irma**Case FOR retirement:** See Harvey, except in the Caribbean and Florida with multiple countries having retirement cases and extremely intense

**Case AGAINST retirement:** None at all

**My probability of retirement:** 100%

**Verdict:** Major Hurricane Jose**Case FOR retirement:** Very intense storm, sent fear into the Caribbean and remembered by them

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Overall impact minimal

**My probability of retirement:** 10%

**Verdict:** Hurricane Katia**Case FOR retirement:** Hurricane impact in southern Mexico; damage noted

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Overshadowed by other storms; similar to Franklin with modest impact

**My probability of retirement:** 10%

**Verdict:** Major Hurricane Lee**Case FOR retirement:** None at all

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Remained far from land, despite its high intensity

**My probability of retirement:** 0%

**Verdict:** Major Hurricane Maria**Case FOR retirement:** See Harvey and Irma, except even more intense

**Case AGAINST retirement:** None at all

**My probability of retirement:** 100%

**Verdict:** Hurricane Nate**Case FOR retirement:** Severe impact from flooding in Central America; locally significant US damage

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Very weak storm until reaching Gulf; no US deaths and damage not extreme there

**My probability of retirement:** 35%

**Verdict:** Major Hurricane Ophelia**Case FOR retirement:** Significant impact in the British Isles; unprecedented storm for the NE Atlantic

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Ireland not on committee and UK is primarily on for Bermuda; little impact elsewhere

**My probability of retirement:** 15%

**Verdict:** Tropical Storm Philippe**Case FOR retirement:** Not much of any

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Very weak storm; not much land impact

**My probability of retirement:** 2%

**Verdict:** Tropical Storm Rina**Case FOR retirement:** None at all

**Case AGAINST retirement:** Stayed far from land

**My probability of retirement:** 0%

**Verdict:**