Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands (Is Invest 94L)

[cycloneye]

A tropical wave along the west coast of Africa is moving westward
at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions could become more
conducive for some development over the weekend while the system
moves well south and southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[gatorcane]

looks like the Cape Verde wave train is about to leave the station. Between Irma and this one, it should be rather busy

[cycloneye]

The main models GFS and ECMWF develop this wave.Jose soon.

[Gustywind]

The main models GFS and ECMWF develop this wave.Jose soon.

Waouw, that's a very muscular train. Hope this won't be a threat for any lands. We will see but looks like this thing is moving west a for at least a while... not very good for any islanders.

[cycloneye]

There is Jose at 240 hours on the 12z ECMWF.

[Kingarabian]

Been a long time since we've seen an active MDR...

[caneseddy]

There is Jose at 240 hours on the 12z ECMWF.

And several weeks ago, before Harvey, people were saying this season was going to underperform and that it was going to bust..dry air, shear, TUTTs...etc.

Look where we are now.

[RL3AO]

Maybe we ruled out a hyperactive season too soon. Two long track cape Verde hurricanes could bring us over 100 ace by mid September

[caneseddy]

Maybe we ruled out a hyperactive season too soon. Two long track cape Verde hurricanes could bring us over 100 ace by mid September

Very true...and then we know that there is a high probability we get a major down in the Western Caribbean in October (since it always seems to happen)

[CrazyC83]

That would be Katia, not Jose, if the Campeche low develops.

[Alyono]

Maybe we ruled out a hyperactive season too soon. Two long track cape Verde hurricanes could bring us over 100 ace by mid September

Irma likely gets 60 ace by itself

[La Sirena]

There is Jose at 240 hours on the 12z ECMWF.

And several weeks ago, before Harvey, people were saying this season was going to underperform and that it was going to bust..dry air, shear, TUTTs...etc.

Look where we are now.

With that image I have to say that I'm glad we moved out of the Keys.....

[cycloneye]

8 PM TWO.

A tropical wave emerging over the far eastern Atlantic is moving
westward at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to
become more conducive for development over the weekend and early
next week while the system moves well to the south and southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

[northjaxpro]

Jose will be born by Sunday imo.

[stormzilla]

Been following this one two days ago here is the latest loop on it.....http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=24

[Alyono]

this one may have some issues due to Irma becoming extremely large. That may create some shear over this if it gets too close

[Bizzles]

And several weeks ago, before Harvey, people were saying this season was going to underperform and that it was going to bust..dry air, shear, TUTTs...etc.

Look where we are now.

Well...they do say that every year lol

[AubreyStorm]

Up 0% - 50%
1. A tropical wave located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean just off
the west coast of Africa is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for development, and this system could become a tropical
depression early next week while it moves westward at 15 mph over
the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

[AubreyStorm]

0% - 50%

[cycloneye]

8 AM TWO:

A tropical wave located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean off
the west coast of Africa is producing disorganized cloudiness and
showers. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development, and this system could become a tropical depression
after the weekend while it moves westward at 15 mph over the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.