I noticed the ECM increases rainfall in the central GOM late this week into the weekend. So I decided to take a look at visible imagery of the Gulf and....
Where did this come from? I guess need to watch it if it increases in convection...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html
Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
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Dean4Storms
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Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
Good catch. Per the surface map, the spin looks to have formed along a tropical wave.
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SEASON_CANCELED
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Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
Dean4Storms wrote:I noticed the ECM increases rainfall in the central GOM late this week into the weekend. So I decided to take a look at visible imagery of the Gulf and....
Where did this come from? I guess need to watch it if it increases in convection...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html
Is that katia's remnant maybe. that feature bears watching i dont think its on NHC radar yet
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Extratropical94
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Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:Dean4Storms wrote:I noticed the ECM increases rainfall in the central GOM late this week into the weekend. So I decided to take a look at visible imagery of the Gulf and....
Where did this come from? I guess need to watch it if it increases in convection...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html
Is that katia's remnant maybe. that feature bears watching i dont think its on NHC radar yet
Katia's remnants redeveloped into TD 15E in the Eastern Pacific.
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lovingseason2013
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Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
It is my opinion that the shear is not going to let anything happen but a naked swirl
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fwbbreeze
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Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
sheer maps for the area. We return to a much more seasonal pattern late in the week up here in the Panhandle. Highs around 90 and lows in the low 70's.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=shr&zoom=&time=
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=shr&zoom=&time=
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SEASON_CANCELED
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Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
less than 10
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Dean4Storms
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Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
Seems to be moving eastward now and still just a naked swirl. Caught my eye and then looked at forecast precip over the central Gulf by the ECM and though might need to watch this. Under a good bit of shear but it is moving into an area of dropping shear tendency. We all know how the steamy Gulf loves highly sheared systems so might want to keep tabs here.
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SEASON_CANCELED
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Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
it moved under some cloud cover tonight. Seems to be firing or atleast absorbing that.
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lrak
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Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
The main convection is stationary while the shear is whisking away the tops. Will this have time to develop into something? I haven't seen any outflow boundaries either?
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AKA karl
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My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
Been watching most of the afternoon, no evidence of low developing yet... but at least is been persistent all day!
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Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
Dry air and shear keeping anything from forming ATM. Tropical moisture on the increase, though.
https://preview.ibb.co/bPR1ZQ/latest72hrs_tropical_moisture.gif
https://preview.ibb.co/bPR1ZQ/latest72hrs_tropical_moisture.gif
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Low Level Circulation BOC moving NE
Some outflow boundaries to the north, I suppose if the shear let up the vorticity could develop. It has been persistent.
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