NE Gulf disturbance

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EquusStorm
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NE Gulf disturbance

#1 Postby EquusStorm » Sun Sep 24, 2017 6:08 pm

Was really hoping there was somewhere other than a new thread to put this, but as I've been watching it all day, I figured it deserved a mention even if it's not likely to develop. Mods please lock if inappropriate. I assume this is associated with the SE trough, and development is not expected, but it's got an interesting appearance nonetheless. I only really thought to mention it as my mother lives on the AL coast and was checking on Gulf weather.

Image

Radar loop shows a general turning, but pretty weak.
Image

This is the kind of thing that can develop in the right conditions given time, but it doesn't seem to have a lot of time or great conditions. Still interesting persistence. https://walkercountytornadoes.files.wordpress.com/2017/09/goes201520172677iiuep.jpg

Shear is strong right over the convection, but weaker off to the west. https://walkercountytornadoes.files.wordpress.com/2017/09/wg8shr-1.gif

ASCAT isn't especially telling. https://walkercountytornadoes.files.wordpress.com/2017/09/wmbds75.png

Anyway, not to alarm anyone in the Florida panhandle. Seems to be moving north and towards land pretty fast where it'll just be a cluster of storms. I just thought this was an interesting feature worth glancing over throughout today whilst waiting on new info regarding our two active hurricanes :D
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Re: NE Gulf disturbance

#2 Postby Ryxn » Sun Sep 24, 2017 6:19 pm

I was curious about this too. 850mb vorticity on the rise (yellow) just south of the area of thunderstorms. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... m=&time=-1
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Re: NE Gulf disturbance

#3 Postby EquusStorm » Sun Sep 24, 2017 6:29 pm

That matches well with the more upper-level rotation seen on satellite south of the heaviest convection. Landfall shortly, but if this had more time over water, this would be something on the TWO for sure.
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tropicwatch
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Re: NE Gulf disturbance

#4 Postby tropicwatch » Sun Sep 24, 2017 6:30 pm

Looks like it will move into the panhandle around Panama City pretty quickly.
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