2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
https://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
two officially in the basin.
I don't see 5 tropical lowss that have already formed into cyclones
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
The models starting to show some slowdown. EURO has only one more developing...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS continues the hyperactive crazy scenario...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Unconfirmed tally...
12 TS
3 TY
2 MT
1 CAT 5
12 TS
3 TY
2 MT
1 CAT 5
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
With 5 TC's, last occurrence could be from 1960 so far i found on post!
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
EURO has several more systems lined up....
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
https://imgur.com/grP5Upm
@ Present on sat-pic looks to me like just a vigorous piece of MT..
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?
@ Present on sat-pic looks to me like just a vigorous piece of MT..
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Last one to end the outburst?
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
The models still insisting on more development until the first week of next month...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
During Week-1, JTWC indicates low confidence (approximately 10 percent) for additional tropical cyclone formation from 5N to 30N, 145E to 165E, well east of the current systems.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Starting to see some slowness in the models as the suppressed phrase of the MJO moves in...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1022594956974870528
https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1022100388768624641
Something to keep an eye on...
https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1022100388768624641
Something to keep an eye on...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
This will be something to watch. ECMWF has the Velocity Anomaly over the area the entire month.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Interesting...
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- 1900hurricane
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Looks like a bit of a break once Jongdari exits the stage, but there are some signs of the next round of activity about a week into August. The 12Z operational ECMWF showed a resurgent monsoon trough with multiple areas consolidating along its length. Ensemble data from both EPS and GEPS seem to at least hint at the same type of scenario, showing lowering surface pressures and mid-level heights, a sign of monsoon trough activity.
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Opinions expressed are mine alone.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Oh dear, the Philippines in it for yet another flooding if that verifies.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Next 8 names:
Shanshan
Yagi
Leepi
Bebinca
Rumbia
Soulik
Cimaron
Jebi
Shanshan
Yagi
Leepi
Bebinca
Rumbia
Soulik
Cimaron
Jebi
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