2018 WPAC Season

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Twisted-core
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#361 Postby Twisted-core » Sun Jul 22, 2018 6:06 am

Image

https://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
two officially in the basin.


Image
I don't see 5 tropical lowss that have already formed into cyclones
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#362 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jul 22, 2018 6:40 am

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1020055225334452226


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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#363 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jul 22, 2018 6:54 am

The models starting to show some slowdown. EURO has only one more developing...

Image
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#364 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jul 22, 2018 6:59 am

GFS continues the hyperactive crazy scenario...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#365 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jul 22, 2018 7:36 am

Unconfirmed tally...

12 TS
3 TY
2 MT
1 CAT 5
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#366 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jul 22, 2018 8:10 am

With 5 TC's, last occurrence could be from 1960 so far i found on post!

Image
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#367 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jul 22, 2018 4:54 pm

Image

EURO has several more systems lined up....
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#368 Postby Twisted-core » Sun Jul 22, 2018 10:22 pm

https://imgur.com/grP5Upm
Image
@ Present on sat-pic looks to me like just a vigorous piece of MT..

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#369 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jul 23, 2018 8:23 am

Last one to end the outburst?

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Image
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#370 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 24, 2018 4:34 pm

The models still insisting on more development until the first week of next month...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#371 Postby euro6208 » Wed Jul 25, 2018 5:10 am

Image

During Week-1, JTWC indicates low confidence (approximately 10 percent) for additional tropical cyclone formation from 5N to 30N, 145E to 165E, well east of the current systems.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#372 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jul 26, 2018 11:42 am

Starting to see some slowness in the models as the suppressed phrase of the MJO moves in...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#373 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jul 26, 2018 9:12 pm

Image
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#374 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jul 26, 2018 9:14 pm

Image
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#375 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jul 27, 2018 7:29 am

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1022594956974870528




 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1022100388768624641




Something to keep an eye on...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#376 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jul 27, 2018 7:38 am

This will be something to watch. ECMWF has the Velocity Anomaly over the area the entire month.

Image
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#377 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jul 27, 2018 5:07 pm

Interesting...

Image
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#378 Postby 1900hurricane » Fri Jul 27, 2018 5:19 pm

Looks like a bit of a break once Jongdari exits the stage, but there are some signs of the next round of activity about a week into August. The 12Z operational ECMWF showed a resurgent monsoon trough with multiple areas consolidating along its length. Ensemble data from both EPS and GEPS seem to at least hint at the same type of scenario, showing lowering surface pressures and mid-level heights, a sign of monsoon trough activity.

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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#379 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jul 27, 2018 9:42 pm

Oh dear, the Philippines in it for yet another flooding if that verifies.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#380 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jul 27, 2018 10:32 pm

Next 8 names:

Shanshan
Yagi
Leepi
Bebinca
Rumbia
Soulik
Cimaron
Jebi
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