2018 WPAC Season

[NotoSans]

39 years ago, the center of Typhoon Hope made landfall over the northeastern part of Hong Kong. It's one of the most severe typhoons affecting the region, and below are some photos showing the damages brought by this monster.





The typhoon had maintained a concentric eyewall structure before making landfall, as shown in the radar imagery below.

[euro6208]

From the historic heat wave (still ongoing) to the deadly flooding which has cause over 300 deaths in the past 2 months. What a year this is shaping up to be for them.

Future Shanshan

[euro6208]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1024719950559236096




Interesting discussion on GFS's over performance in the WPAC.

[euro6208]

Been reading reports of Japan restarting their reconnaissance flights into typhoons this year.

[euro6208]

00Z EURO very robust on twins developing on both sides of the Philippines.

You can also see Hector about to cross over from the CPAC.

WPAC on fire.

[euro6208]

In agreement with GFS. GFS overestimating intensity again.

[euro6208]

Very important TSR update on the 7th.

27/17/9 ACE 307 in the May update.

27/17/10 ACE 331 in the July update.

Both slightly above the 1965-2017 norm.

Will the numbers continue to increase?

[mrbagyo]

39 years ago, the center of Typhoon Hope made landfall over the northeastern part of Hong Kong. It's one of the most severe typhoons affecting the region, and below are some photos showing the damages brought by this monster.

[ig]http://multimedia.scmp.com/typhoons/img/1/hope_1.1200.jpg[/img]

[mg]https://cdn.hk01.com/di/media/images/171861/org/8aa3f0cd6a02a08c61f2ac1e567fdca5.jpg/3yNUJCLndZxXncr7O12gg02Crp8_7je2_xF4TP8ReEw?v=w1280[/img]

The typhoon had maintained a concentric eyewall structure before making landfall, as shown in the radar imagery below.

[ig]https://cdn.hk01.com/di/media/images/171865/org/5d2cea868f6405900075e44f0170c40a.png/nKiIcCaJEOpUu57UfoUBTkfT7dc9zmAJDaVBnA2lQZw?v=w1280[/img]

Nice, you may also post that in the Tropical Cyclone-Related Anniversaries [Five-year Intervals Only]

[euro6208]

System #1 making landfall over Hainan Island with System #2 developing in the P.I sea.



#2 stronger. Another Japan threat?

[euro6208]

NAVGEM also has the same solution.

GfS does a fujiwhara with both systems.

[euro6208]

A surface trough east of Wake Island and in the extreme western portion of the Central Pacific basin is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms [this area is not an invest area at this time]. An area of low pressure is expected to form along this trough as it crosses the International Date Line and enters the Western Pacific basin (see attached 48 hour forecast from the U.S. Ocean Prediction Center, with the area circled in orange), with most of the global models intensifying it to gale force by late Friday.

Conditions are expected to be conducive for some development of this system as it moves north-northwestward over the eastern portion of the basin, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form this weekend before the system begins interacting with a cold front.

[1900hurricane]

I'm thinking it's about a coin flip that Hector ends up entering the WPac.

[euro6208]

GFS has no fujiwhara now.

[euro6208]

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1025031911842951168

[Twisted-core]

GFS has no fujiwhara now.

Level Altitude 850 mb 5,000 feet above sea level.



https://imgur.com/Yc8CZnu

projected wind @10 metres height is likely a better indication of strength.

[mrbagyo]

Why's there no mention about that system near 20N 173E?
Looks quite a bit organized to be ignored

[1900hurricane]

Euro actually posted about it a few posts up, although I haven't looked at it much yet. ASCAT hit it earlier and still showed it as a pretty broad inverted trough still, but something could come of it.

[euro6208]

Double terror continues.

[euro6208]

GFS again shows binary interaction with both systems with eventual landfall over mainland Japan.

[euro6208]

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1025344199938519040




The WPAC seems to be the unknown out of all the active basins in this updated forecast.

Maybe more easterly developing systems typical during el nino years if this el nino truly transpire and high precipitation anomalies extend to the CPAC?