2018 WPAC Season

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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#461 Postby Twisted-core » Tue Aug 14, 2018 11:45 pm

Image
Being the ec worth taking some notice @ the mb.
https://imgur.com/umURgFw
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#462 Postby euro6208 » Wed Aug 15, 2018 5:37 am

Image

Both systems highlighted in week 1 are already a TC and an invest.

Week 2 shows more activity...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#463 Postby doomhaMwx » Wed Aug 15, 2018 5:46 am

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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#464 Postby euro6208 » Wed Aug 15, 2018 6:01 am

 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1029147032164786176




Unbelievable August...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#465 Postby euro6208 » Wed Aug 15, 2018 7:11 am

Image

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/inventory-tropical-cyclone-tracks

Despite all the shocks and controversies in the surrounding basins, the WPAC still the #1 and world's most active basin...
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#466 Postby euro6208 » Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:04 am

Very active season ahead.

Here is a look at the average date for the formation of the 21st system.

Image

Formed on the 14th of August... more than one month ahead of the average date...

Rumbia
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#467 Postby euro6208 » Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:28 am

22W

JTWC will be warning on the 22nd warned system.



According to NWS of the region, we are quite ahead usually not until Sep-Oct on normal that we see storms nearing the Marianas.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#468 Postby euro6208 » Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:31 am

1900hurricane wrote:Most of them have been pretty lame due to their development north of 20ºN, but the WPac is pooping out systems at a meteoric rate. We're already up to 22 JTWC designated systems (including the crossover Hector). If things stay active as the monsoon trough begins to retreat south, ACE will begin to really rack up.


Doesn't the northern track for most of the systems an indicated of an el nino? Now we are seeing possibly an eastward shift in formation..
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#469 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:52 am

I've never heard of El Nino influencing storm genesis locations northward or southward, only eastward with respect to normal. In fact, just based on storm genesis locations of recent El Nino seasons, I suspect it may help the monsoon trough stay a little more south this time of year.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#470 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Aug 15, 2018 10:08 pm

It's amazing to see that almost every new invest that pops up in the basin eventually gets named by JMA.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#471 Postby NotoSans » Wed Aug 15, 2018 10:24 pm

According to the JMA best track database, Soulik is the second earliest 19th storm in a typhoon season, behind Olive in 1971 (formed on July 30). But I'd argue that two or three more storms actually attained TS intensity but were not named by the JMA (e.g. 04W & 13W).
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#472 Postby doomhaMwx » Thu Aug 16, 2018 12:24 am

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https://www.facebook.com/sayakamorinhk/ ... 552175521/
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#473 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 16, 2018 6:49 am

Last one to join the outbreak?

Image
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#474 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 16, 2018 6:57 am

GFS with several more headed towards the vicinity of Japan.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#475 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 16, 2018 7:00 am

Next 5 names on the list:

(Cimaron: Assuming 91W gets upgraded)...
Jebi
Mangkhut
Barijat
Trami
Kong-rey
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#476 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 16, 2018 7:16 am

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1029786172736905216


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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#477 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 16, 2018 9:03 pm

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1030171233743237123


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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#478 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 16, 2018 9:20 pm

Recap on the season so far.

18 TS
8 TY
2 MT
2 STY
1 CAT 5

If my eyeballs are working right... :lol:
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#479 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 16, 2018 9:26 pm

EPS has some serious VP anomalies to close out the month.

Image
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#480 Postby euro6208 » Fri Aug 17, 2018 7:35 am

Image

EURO still hinting on another development near Taiwan.
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