2018 WPAC Season

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
TyphoonNara
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 343
Age: 19
Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
Location: Hong Kong

Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#761 Postby TyphoonNara » Wed Dec 26, 2018 9:03 pm

Super long-range GFS is seeing a potential typhoon in January.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 16272
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#762 Postby euro6208 » Thu Dec 27, 2018 6:27 am

GFS is back and forth on intensity but still has it approaching near Guam...

Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 16272
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#763 Postby euro6208 » Fri Dec 28, 2018 6:54 am

GFS still has it on the latest couple of runs. Albeit weaker.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 16272
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#764 Postby euro6208 » Fri Dec 28, 2018 5:59 pm

Image
Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
TyphoonNara
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 343
Age: 19
Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
Location: Hong Kong

Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#765 Postby TyphoonNara » Sat Dec 29, 2018 6:39 am

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Imran_doomhaMwx
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 968
Age: 20
Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2017 4:01 am
Location: Baguio City, Benguet, Philippines

Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#766 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Mon Dec 31, 2018 9:46 am

As operationally estimated/assessed by the JTWC, six category 5 supertyphoons(STY) developed over the NW Pacific this 2018. This season saw two powerful and devastating category 5 landfalls. STY Mangkhut(26W) made landfall over Luzon in mid September, and about a month later, STY Yutu(31W) hit the Northern Mariana islands as a 155kt storm.

Image
2 likes   

User avatar
TyphoonNara
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 343
Age: 19
Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
Location: Hong Kong

Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#767 Postby TyphoonNara » Mon Dec 31, 2018 10:35 am

A summary of tracks in 2018.

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4371
Age: 28
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: College Station, TX
Contact:

Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#768 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Jan 08, 2019 8:22 pm

When using the JTWC operational data and comparing it to the NHC and JTWC data going back to 2004 (when wind radii was first included in best track data), the 2018 Pacific Typhoon Season released the most energy of any tropical cyclone season on record. 27.083 PJ of Track Integrated Kinetic Energy (TIKE) was released over the course of the season. However, between the short period of record and the sketchiness of some of the JTWC wind radii, especially before 2016, this may be somewhat of a hollow record.
1 likes   
Wayward meteorology student on a journey back to the promised land.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 16272
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#769 Postby euro6208 » Sat Mar 02, 2019 6:28 am

Looks like the WMO retired Mangkhut and Rumbia from the naming list.

The strongest storm of the season, Yutu, didn't even get any retirement. It devastated Guam and the NMI.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
Shell Mound
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 370
Age: 26
Joined: Thu Sep 07, 2017 3:39 pm

Re: 2018 WPAC Season

#770 Postby Shell Mound » Mon Mar 04, 2019 8:08 pm

euro6208 wrote:Looks like the WMO retired Mangkhut and Rumbia from the naming list.

The strongest storm of the season, Yutu, didn't even get any retirement. It devastated Guam and the NMI.

That's a travesty. The economic impact from Yutu was enormous, however limited the area impacted, and Yutu was the second-strongest tropical cyclone on record to hit U.S. territory, following the 1935 Labor Day hurricane. Unfortunately, the U.S. has treated the Northern Mariana Islands in the same way it treated Puerto Rico, another overseas U.S. territory, after Hurricane Maria (2017). U.S. overseas territories tend to be treated as less important than states, especially mainland states. Sadly, politics tends to supersede the importance of human life and economic recovery in some cases. (Even areas of the Florida Panhandle, for that matter, have not received much aid since last year's Hurricane Michael.)
1 likes   
Tracking weather since 1992 | Following S2K since 2005
The views herein are the author's alone. Please defer to the N.H.C./N.W.S. for official information.


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], Hurricane_Apu, NDG, pepecool20, peverett, SoupBone, stormlover2013 and 52 guests