2 PM TWO:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 031724
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Nov 3 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form about 1000
miles east of Bermuda over the weekend. This low could then
acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics as it moves to
the north-northeast over the central Atlantic next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
A little shocked to see this in the TWO. Probably won't amount to much, but interesting nonetheless.
Trough over the subtropical central Atlantic (Now Invest 95L)
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- CyclonicFury
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Trough over the subtropical central Atlantic (Now Invest 95L)
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
- AJC3
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Re: Trough over the subtropical central Atlantic
This is essentially an INVEST 94L redux.
viewtopic.php?f=85&t=119360
It's the same, persistent area of disturbed weather along a surface trough in the central ATLC that was carried in the TWO early this week, until it was dropped on Wednesday morning. There's been a weak XT low along the southern end of that trough has been drifting SW most of the week. It looks like it will stall, maybe get a bit of a baroclinic boost as it moves NE over the next 3-4 days as an XTC.
I don't see it becoming a STC/TC.
In fact, if you look at the western half of the Atlantic, it's a veritable cornucopia of small XT lows/cyclones - especially that hideous three-vort eyesore E-NE of the Bahamas.
viewtopic.php?f=85&t=119360
It's the same, persistent area of disturbed weather along a surface trough in the central ATLC that was carried in the TWO early this week, until it was dropped on Wednesday morning. There's been a weak XT low along the southern end of that trough has been drifting SW most of the week. It looks like it will stall, maybe get a bit of a baroclinic boost as it moves NE over the next 3-4 days as an XTC.
I don't see it becoming a STC/TC.
In fact, if you look at the western half of the Atlantic, it's a veritable cornucopia of small XT lows/cyclones - especially that hideous three-vort eyesore E-NE of the Bahamas.
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- AJC3
- Admin
- Posts: 3873
- Age: 60
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:04 pm
- Location: West Melbourne, Florida
- Contact:
Re: Trough over the subtropical central Atlantic
ABNT20 KNHC 032319
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Nov 3 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Satellite imagery indicates that a weak area of low pressure has
formed about 1000 miles southeast of Bermuda, accompanied by
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This low could
acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics as it moves to
the north-northeast over the central Atlantic this weekend and
early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Nov 3 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Satellite imagery indicates that a weak area of low pressure has
formed about 1000 miles southeast of Bermuda, accompanied by
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This low could
acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics as it moves to
the north-northeast over the central Atlantic this weekend and
early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
1 likes
- CyclonicFury
- Category 5
- Posts: 1975
- Age: 25
- Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 12:32 pm
- Location: NC
- Contact:
Re: Trough over the subtropical central Atlantic
Now Invest 95L
AL, 95, 2017110400, , BEST, 0, 235N, 530W, 20, 1010, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 100, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 041, SPAWNINVEST, al712017 to al952017,
viewtopic.php?f=59&t=119369
AL, 95, 2017110400, , BEST, 0, 235N, 530W, 20, 1010, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 100, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 041, SPAWNINVEST, al712017 to al952017,
viewtopic.php?f=59&t=119369
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
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