2018 ACE: NATL - 120.7 - EPAC - 297.9 - WPAC - 276.3 - NIO - 23.2

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cycloneye
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2018 ACE: NATL - 120.7 - EPAC - 297.9 - WPAC - 276.3 - NIO - 23.2

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 01, 2018 12:14 pm

Here we go with the 2018 ACE thread.It looks like SHEM will have a cyclone that will get some ACE units.

http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 9.2

#2 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jan 06, 2018 11:58 am

SHEM now has Tropical Cyclone IRVING that should boost the ACE units for this Hemisphere that is below normal on ACE in this 2017-18 season.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 9.2

#3 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Jan 06, 2018 9:50 pm

Here's what I have so far for the SHEM when ripping straight from ATCF:

System: DAHLIA (01S)
Date & Time Vmax ACE PDI Class
(kt) Inst Sum Inst Sum
------------------------------------------------------------------------
11/30/2017 0Z: 35, 0.1225, 0.1225, 0.042875, 0.042875, XX
11/30/2017 6Z: 35, 0.1225, 0.2450, 0.042875, 0.085750, XX
11/30/2017 12Z: 45, 0.2025, 0.4475, 0.091125, 0.176875, XX
11/30/2017 18Z: 45, 0.2025, 0.6500, 0.091125, 0.268000, XX
12/ 1/2017 0Z: 50, 0.2500, 0.9000, 0.125000, 0.393000, XX
12/ 1/2017 6Z: 50, 0.2500, 1.1500, 0.125000, 0.518000, XX
12/ 1/2017 12Z: 50, 0.2500, 1.4000, 0.125000, 0.643000, XX
12/ 1/2017 18Z: 55, 0.3025, 1.7025, 0.166375, 0.809375, XX
12/ 2/2017 0Z: 50, 0.2500, 1.9525, 0.125000, 0.934375, XX
12/ 2/2017 6Z: 45, 0.2025, 2.1550, 0.091125, 1.025500, XX
12/ 2/2017 12Z: 35, 0.1225, 2.2775, 0.042875, 1.068375, XX
12/ 2/2017 18Z: 35, 0.1225, 2.4000, 0.042875, 1.111250, XX
12/ 3/2017 0Z: 35, 0.1225, 2.5225, 0.042875, 1.154125, XX
12/ 3/2017 6Z: 35, 0.1225, 2.6450, 0.042875, 1.197000, XX
12/ 3/2017 12Z: 35, 0.1225, 2.7675, 0.042875, 1.239875, XX
12/ 3/2017 18Z: 35, 0.1225, 2.8900, 0.042875, 1.282750, XX
12/ 4/2017 0Z: 30, 0.0000, 2.8900, 0.000000, 1.282750, XX
------------------------------------------------------------------------


System: HILDA (02S)
Date & Time Vmax ACE PDI Class
(kt) Inst Sum Inst Sum
------------------------------------------------------------------------
12/27/2017 18Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.1600, 0.064000, 0.064000, XX
12/28/2017 0Z: 35, 0.1225, 0.2825, 0.042875, 0.106875, XX
12/28/2017 6Z: 30, 0.0000, 0.2825, 0.000000, 0.106875, XX


System: AVA (03S)
Date & Time Vmax ACE PDI Class
(kt) Inst Sum Inst Sum
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ 3/2018 0Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.1600, 0.064000, 0.064000, XX
1/ 3/2018 6Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.3200, 0.064000, 0.128000, XX
1/ 3/2018 12Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.4800, 0.064000, 0.192000, XX
1/ 3/2018 18Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.6400, 0.064000, 0.256000, XX
1/ 4/2018 0Z: 45, 0.2025, 0.8425, 0.091125, 0.347125, XX
1/ 4/2018 6Z: 45, 0.2025, 1.0450, 0.091125, 0.438250, XX
1/ 4/2018 12Z: 55, 0.3025, 1.3475, 0.166375, 0.604625, XX
1/ 4/2018 18Z: 60, 0.3600, 1.7075, 0.216000, 0.820625, XX
1/ 5/2018 0Z: 75, 0.5625, 2.2700, 0.421875, 1.242500, XX
1/ 5/2018 6Z: 95, 0.9025, 3.1725, 0.857375, 2.099875, XX
1/ 5/2018 12Z: 90, 0.8100, 3.9825, 0.729000, 2.828875, XX
1/ 5/2018 18Z: 65, 0.4225, 4.4050, 0.274625, 3.103500, XX
1/ 6/2018 0Z: 60, 0.3600, 4.7650, 0.216000, 3.319500, XX
1/ 6/2018 6Z: 55, 0.3025, 5.0675, 0.166375, 3.485875, XX
1/ 6/2018 12Z: 50, 0.2500, 5.3175, 0.125000, 3.610875, XX
1/ 6/2018 18Z: 40, 0.1600, 5.4775, 0.064000, 3.674875, XX
1/ 7/2018 0Z: 35, 0.1225, 5.6000, 0.042875, 3.717750, XX


System: IRVING (04S)
Date & Time Vmax ACE PDI Class
(kt) Inst Sum Inst Sum
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ 6/2018 0Z: 35, 0.1225, 0.1225, 0.042875, 0.042875, XX
1/ 6/2018 6Z: 35, 0.1225, 0.2450, 0.042875, 0.085750, XX
1/ 6/2018 12Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.4050, 0.064000, 0.149750, XX
1/ 6/2018 18Z: 45, 0.2025, 0.6075, 0.091125, 0.240875, XX
1/ 7/2018 0Z: 55, 0.3025, 0.9100, 0.166375, 0.407250, XX


That gives me a sum of 9.6825 as of 00Z January 7th. Note that Ava and Irving are also still active.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 11.8

#4 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jan 07, 2018 5:35 pm

cycloneye wrote:Here we go with the 2018 ACE thread.It looks like SHEM will have a cyclone that will to get some ACE units.

http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/


Make it two cyclones as models have a powerful one that will boost even more the ACE besides TC IRVING.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 19.1

#5 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jan 12, 2018 8:05 am

WPAC ACE still at 0 despite JTWC calling 01W Bolaven but was only a Tropical Depression so no ACE there.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 21.1

#6 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jan 13, 2018 7:31 am

SHEM will get a big boost from TC BERGUITTA as is expected to be a strong one.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 33.8

#7 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Jan 22, 2018 11:55 am

Here are the operational tallies from Ava, Irving, Joyce, and Berguitta. My SHEM count is now up to 33.8.

>>> http://hurricanes.ral.ucar.edu/reposito ... 032018.dat
System: AVA (03S)
Date & Time Vmax ACE PDI Class
(kt) Inst Sum Inst Sum
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ 3/2018 0Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.1600, 0.064000, 0.064000, XX
1/ 3/2018 6Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.3200, 0.064000, 0.128000, XX
1/ 3/2018 12Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.4800, 0.064000, 0.192000, XX
1/ 3/2018 18Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.6400, 0.064000, 0.256000, XX
1/ 4/2018 0Z: 45, 0.2025, 0.8425, 0.091125, 0.347125, XX
1/ 4/2018 6Z: 45, 0.2025, 1.0450, 0.091125, 0.438250, XX
1/ 4/2018 12Z: 55, 0.3025, 1.3475, 0.166375, 0.604625, XX
1/ 4/2018 18Z: 60, 0.3600, 1.7075, 0.216000, 0.820625, XX
1/ 5/2018 0Z: 75, 0.5625, 2.2700, 0.421875, 1.242500, XX
1/ 5/2018 6Z: 95, 0.9025, 3.1725, 0.857375, 2.099875, XX
1/ 5/2018 12Z: 90, 0.8100, 3.9825, 0.729000, 2.828875, XX
1/ 5/2018 18Z: 65, 0.4225, 4.4050, 0.274625, 3.103500, XX
1/ 6/2018 0Z: 60, 0.3600, 4.7650, 0.216000, 3.319500, XX
1/ 6/2018 6Z: 55, 0.3025, 5.0675, 0.166375, 3.485875, XX
1/ 6/2018 12Z: 50, 0.2500, 5.3175, 0.125000, 3.610875, XX
1/ 6/2018 18Z: 40, 0.1600, 5.4775, 0.064000, 3.674875, XX
1/ 7/2018 0Z: 35, 0.1225, 5.6000, 0.042875, 3.717750, XX
1/ 7/2018 6Z: 35, 0.1225, 5.7225, 0.042875, 3.760625, XX
1/ 7/2018 12Z: 35, 0.1225, 5.8450, 0.042875, 3.803500, XX
1/ 7/2018 18Z: 40, 0.1600, 6.0050, 0.064000, 3.867500, XX
1/ 8/2018 0Z: 40, 0.1600, 6.1650, 0.064000, 3.931500, XX
1/ 8/2018 6Z: 40, 0.1600, 6.3250, 0.064000, 3.995500, XX
1/ 8/2018 12Z: 40, 0.1600, 6.4850, 0.064000, 4.059500, XX
1/ 8/2018 18Z: 40, 0.1600, 6.6450, 0.064000, 4.123500, XX
1/ 9/2018 0Z: 35, 0.1225, 6.7675, 0.042875, 4.166375, XX
1/ 9/2018 6Z: 35, 0.1225, 6.8900, 0.042875, 4.209250, XX
1/ 9/2018 18Z: 30, 0.0000, 6.8900, 0.000000, 4.209250, XX
1/10/2018 0Z: 30, 0.0000, 6.8900, 0.000000, 4.209250, XX

>>> http://hurricanes.ral.ucar.edu/reposito ... 042018.dat
System: IRVING (04S)
Date & Time Vmax ACE PDI Class
(kt) Inst Sum Inst Sum
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ 6/2018 0Z: 35, 0.1225, 0.1225, 0.042875, 0.042875, XX
1/ 6/2018 6Z: 35, 0.1225, 0.2450, 0.042875, 0.085750, XX
1/ 6/2018 12Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.4050, 0.064000, 0.149750, XX
1/ 6/2018 18Z: 45, 0.2025, 0.6075, 0.091125, 0.240875, XX
1/ 7/2018 0Z: 55, 0.3025, 0.9100, 0.166375, 0.407250, XX
1/ 7/2018 6Z: 65, 0.4225, 1.3325, 0.274625, 0.681875, XX
1/ 7/2018 12Z: 75, 0.5625, 1.8950, 0.421875, 1.103750, XX
1/ 7/2018 18Z: 90, 0.8100, 2.7050, 0.729000, 1.832750, XX
1/ 8/2018 0Z: 90, 0.8100, 3.5150, 0.729000, 2.561750, XX
1/ 8/2018 6Z: 90, 0.8100, 4.3250, 0.729000, 3.290750, XX
1/ 8/2018 12Z: 90, 0.8100, 5.1350, 0.729000, 4.019750, XX
1/ 8/2018 18Z: 90, 0.8100, 5.9450, 0.729000, 4.748750, XX
1/ 9/2018 0Z: 85, 0.7225, 6.6675, 0.614125, 5.362875, XX
1/ 9/2018 6Z: 75, 0.5625, 7.2300, 0.421875, 5.784750, XX
1/ 9/2018 12Z: 70, 0.4900, 7.7200, 0.343000, 6.127750, XX
1/ 9/2018 18Z: 65, 0.4225, 8.1425, 0.274625, 6.402375, XX
1/10/2018 0Z: 60, 0.3600, 8.5025, 0.216000, 6.618375, XX
1/10/2018 6Z: 45, 0.2025, 8.7050, 0.091125, 6.709500, XX
1/10/2018 12Z: 40, 0.1600, 8.8650, 0.064000, 6.773500, XX
1/10/2018 18Z: 40, 0.1600, 9.0250, 0.064000, 6.837500, XX

>>> http://hurricanes.ral.ucar.edu/reposito ... 052018.dat
System: JOYCE (05S)
Date & Time Vmax ACE PDI Class
(kt) Inst Sum Inst Sum
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ 9/2018 18Z: 20, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
1/10/2018 0Z: 30, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
1/10/2018 6Z: 25, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
1/10/2018 12Z: 30, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
1/10/2018 18Z: 35, 0.1225, 0.1225, 0.042875, 0.042875, XX
1/11/2018 0Z: 45, 0.2025, 0.3250, 0.091125, 0.134000, XX
1/11/2018 12Z: 45, 0.2025, 0.5275, 0.091125, 0.225125, XX
1/11/2018 18Z: 55, 0.3025, 0.8300, 0.166375, 0.391500, XX
1/12/2018 0Z: 45, 0.2025, 1.0325, 0.091125, 0.482625, XX
1/12/2018 6Z: 45, 0.2025, 1.2350, 0.091125, 0.573750, XX
1/12/2018 12Z: 45, 0.2025, 1.4375, 0.091125, 0.664875, XX
1/12/2018 18Z: 40, 0.1600, 1.5975, 0.064000, 0.728875, XX
1/13/2018 6Z: 35, 0.1225, 1.7200, 0.042875, 0.771750, XX
1/13/2018 12Z: 25, 0.0000, 1.7200, 0.000000, 0.771750, XX
1/13/2018 18Z: 25, 0.0000, 1.7200, 0.000000, 0.771750, XX
1/14/2018 0Z: 20, 0.0000, 1.7200, 0.000000, 0.771750, XX
1/14/2018 6Z: 20, 0.0000, 1.7200, 0.000000, 0.771750, XX
1/14/2018 12Z: 20, 0.0000, 1.7200, 0.000000, 0.771750, XX

>>> http://hurricanes.ral.ucar.edu/reposito ... 062018.dat
System: BERGUITTA (06S)
Date & Time Vmax ACE PDI Class
(kt) Inst Sum Inst Sum
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/12/2018 18Z: 35, 0.1225, 0.1225, 0.042875, 0.042875, XX
1/13/2018 0Z: 35, 0.1225, 0.2450, 0.042875, 0.085750, XX
1/13/2018 6Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.4050, 0.064000, 0.149750, XX
1/13/2018 12Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.5650, 0.064000, 0.213750, XX
1/13/2018 18Z: 40, 0.1600, 0.7250, 0.064000, 0.277750, XX
1/14/2018 0Z: 50, 0.2500, 0.9750, 0.125000, 0.402750, XX
1/14/2018 6Z: 55, 0.3025, 1.2775, 0.166375, 0.569125, XX
1/14/2018 12Z: 55, 0.3025, 1.5800, 0.166375, 0.735500, XX
1/14/2018 18Z: 55, 0.3025, 1.8825, 0.166375, 0.901875, XX
1/15/2018 0Z: 60, 0.3600, 2.2425, 0.216000, 1.117875, XX
1/15/2018 6Z: 75, 0.5625, 2.8050, 0.421875, 1.539750, XX
1/15/2018 12Z: 90, 0.8100, 3.6150, 0.729000, 2.268750, XX
1/15/2018 18Z: 100, 1.0000, 4.6150, 1.000000, 3.268750, XX
1/16/2018 0Z: 100, 1.0000, 5.6150, 1.000000, 4.268750, XX
1/16/2018 6Z: 95, 0.9025, 6.5175, 0.857375, 5.126125, XX
1/16/2018 12Z: 85, 0.7225, 7.2400, 0.614125, 5.740250, XX
1/16/2018 18Z: 80, 0.6400, 7.8800, 0.512000, 6.252250, XX
1/17/2018 0Z: 80, 0.6400, 8.5200, 0.512000, 6.764250, XX
1/17/2018 6Z: 70, 0.4900, 9.0100, 0.343000, 7.107250, XX
1/17/2018 12Z: 65, 0.4225, 9.4325, 0.274625, 7.381875, XX
1/17/2018 18Z: 65, 0.4225, 9.8550, 0.274625, 7.656500, XX
1/18/2018 0Z: 65, 0.4225, 10.2775, 0.274625, 7.931125, XX
1/18/2018 6Z: 65, 0.4225, 10.7000, 0.274625, 8.205750, XX
1/18/2018 12Z: 65, 0.4225, 11.1225, 0.274625, 8.480375, XX
1/18/2018 18Z: 60, 0.3600, 11.4825, 0.216000, 8.696375, XX
1/19/2018 0Z: 55, 0.3025, 11.7850, 0.166375, 8.862750, XX
1/19/2018 6Z: 55, 0.3025, 12.0875, 0.166375, 9.029125, XX
1/19/2018 12Z: 50, 0.2500, 12.3375, 0.125000, 9.154125, XX
1/19/2018 18Z: 50, 0.2500, 12.5875, 0.125000, 9.279125, XX
1/20/2018 0Z: 45, 0.2025, 12.7900, 0.091125, 9.370250, XX
1/20/2018 6Z: 45, 0.2025, 12.9925, 0.091125, 9.461375, XX
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 36.1

#8 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jan 28, 2018 1:27 pm

SHEM will get a lot more ACE units with TC CEBILE
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 44.2

#9 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 29, 2018 7:59 pm

Will BOLAVEN that was the first TC of WPAC in 2018 be upgraded at reanalysis report? JTWC mantained it as a Tropical Depression while JMA upgraded to Tropical Storm and that is why WPAC still has 0 ACE units as JTWC is what counts for ACE.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 60.9

#10 Postby cycloneye » Thu Feb 01, 2018 6:23 pm

@philklotzbach
Tropical Cyclone #Cebile has now generated ~25 Accumulated Cyclone Energy units - the most by an individual tropical cyclone anywhere around the globe since Hurricane #Maria in the Atlantic in September 2017.


 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/959180039026753537


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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 73.7

#11 Postby cycloneye » Thu Feb 08, 2018 11:16 am

SHEM got plenty of ACE with Cebile but still the southern hemisphere is below average.(98.5) is the average to this date Febuary 8.

WPAC is poised to start getting some ACE units with TD 93W.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - NIO - SHEM - 74.4

#12 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Feb 10, 2018 4:12 pm

WPac is now on the board.

System: TWO (02W)
Date & Time Vmax ACE PDI Class
(kt) Inst Sum Inst Sum
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2/ 9/2018 0Z: 20, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
2/ 9/2018 6Z: 30, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
2/ 9/2018 12Z: 30, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
2/ 9/2018 18Z: 25, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
2/10/2018 0Z: 25, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
2/10/2018 6Z: 25, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
2/10/2018 12Z: 30, 0.0000, 0.0000, 0.000000, 0.000000, XX
2/10/2018 18Z: 45, 0.2025, 0.2025, 0.091125, 0.091125, XX
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - 0.7 - NIO - SHEM - 78.1

#13 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 11, 2018 2:07 pm

WPAC will not get a lot ACE units with TS SANBA but SHEM will get much more from TC GITA.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - 1.5 - NIO - SHEM - 101.1

#14 Postby 1900hurricane » Fri Feb 16, 2018 7:25 pm

SHem ACE crossed 100 today.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - 1.5 - NIO - SHEM - 119.4

#15 Postby cycloneye » Sat Mar 03, 2018 3:59 pm

SHEM will get a good deal of ACE units with Tropical Cyclone DUMAZILE
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - 1.5 - NIO - SHEM - 119.4

#16 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 07, 2018 2:48 pm

TC HOLA is boosting a lot more ACE for SHEM.
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Re: .2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - 1.5 - NIO - SHEM - 128.7

#17 Postby cycloneye » Sun Mar 11, 2018 12:02 pm

Despite the few very strong cyclones that had been adding a good chunk of ACE to SHEM,is still below the normal average.For this date (March 11) the normal data is 154 units but as of this post is at 128.7.The Northern Hemisphere is also down the average but is still early at that part of the world as WPAC only has 1.5 while it's average for this date is 5.0.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - 1.5 - NIO - SHEM - 150.3

#18 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:29 pm

TC Marcus is causing SHEM to get closer to the average ACE for a season.Will it surpass the average mark remains to be seen but already this TC is the strongest one in the Southern Hemisphere on this season.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - 1.5 - NIO - SHEM - 169.4

#19 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 26, 2018 6:37 am

After the intense cyclones that formed in the past few weeks, SHEM still is a little below average.As of March 26 the average is 180 units and the season count is 169.4.
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Re: 2018 ACE: NATL - EPAC - WPAC - 1.5 - NIO - SHEM - 169.4

#20 Postby euro6208 » Mon Mar 26, 2018 6:56 am

WPAC on par.

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