2018 EPAC Season

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cycloneye
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2018 EPAC Season

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 01, 2018 12:50 pm

Let's see how the 2018 EPAC Hurricane Season is on activity as the 2017 season was a slightly above average one. (18/9/4) and the ACE on 2017 was just below 100 units. (98.2) There is uncertainty about ENSO on how it will be and that could play a roll on how active the season will be.

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Names for 2018 season:

Aletta
Bud
Carlotta
Daniel
Emilia
Fabio
Gilma
Hector
Ileana
John
Kristy
Lane
Miriam
Norman
Olivia
Paul
Rosa
Sergio
Tara
Vicente
Willa
Xavier
Yolanda
Zeke


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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#2 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jan 02, 2018 5:06 am

As a whole, this is my most favorite set of names in the epac list.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#3 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jan 03, 2018 3:29 pm

My guess on numbers is 19/10/5.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#4 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Jan 04, 2018 11:50 pm

While I basically nailed 2017 as a late 80s redux, I don't really have any strong opinions on how it will roll yet, but I'm not betting on a insane season. My guess is another 2017
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#5 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sat Jan 06, 2018 5:31 am

Going for a rather active season, possibly a repeat of 2006.... I can't give my numners yet, but I like the names in this list, especially Lane, Olivia, my name (Sergio) and Tara!!
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#6 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jan 28, 2018 1:40 pm

Who wants to answer the following question? Which names will be the big ones in the 2018 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season? (Cat 3 or higher)

I will go with Daniel,Gilma,John,Miriam and Olivia.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#7 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Jan 28, 2018 3:35 pm

cycloneye wrote:Who wants to answer the following question? Which names will be the big ones in the 2018 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season? (Cat 3 or higher)

I will go with Daniel,Gilma,John,Miriam and Olivia.


Ditto. Same here.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#8 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Jan 28, 2018 3:38 pm

Latest Euro pressure forecast for ASO in the EPAC/CPAC (take it with a grain of salt of course!) shows a 2016+2017 hybrid setup, where CPAC conditions would be better than the EPAC.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#9 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Feb 27, 2018 7:01 pm

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Weatherbell likes to remind me everyday of how lucky we in Hawaii were to avoid these threats.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#10 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 28, 2018 6:12 pm

The Pacific will be seen much better when the new GOES-17 WEST satellite is put in orbit and begins to work and send spectacular views and will be great when the EPAC/CPAC Tropical Cyclones form and move thru the ocean.Launch is on March 1 at 5:02 PM EST.

@NOAA's #GOESS (#GOES17) rolled back from the tower, a step closer to launch, scheduled tomorrow (3/1/18) at 5:02 p.m. ET.



https://twitter.com/NOAASatellitePA/status/968905852651556865


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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#11 Postby cycloneye » Thu Mar 01, 2018 8:47 pm

There it goes.We will see very nitid images from GOES-17 of the systems that move thru the EPAC and CPAC.

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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#12 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Mar 21, 2018 11:54 am

Vertical instability is now above average. Bodes well for what I've been anticipating this season - a return to quality over quantity, which goes in cycles in this basin.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#13 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 21, 2018 12:13 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:Vertical instability is now above average. Bodes well for what I've been anticipating this season - a return to quality over quantity, which goes in cycles in this basin.


Also a big plus for this 2018 season to have more quality cyclones will be the warm sst's and ssta's off CA and Mexico.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#14 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:04 pm

https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/cgi-bin/d ... Timeseries

February 2018 SST's warmest on record for that month. SST's were one of the problems last season, especially given how warm the Atlantic waters were.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#15 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Mar 22, 2018 9:06 am

Yellow Evan wrote:Vertical instability is now above average. Bodes well for what I've been anticipating this season - a return to quality over quantity, which goes in cycles in this basin.

I don’t know, 2016 was quite quality and quantity to me in the East Pacific. Of course last season died off pretty quickly once we entered August around the time the Atlantic got going.

I’m guessing you expect the East Pacific to once again rob the Atlantic of it’s energy and potential?
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#16 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Mar 22, 2018 11:42 am

TheStormExpert wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:Vertical instability is now above average. Bodes well for what I've been anticipating this season - a return to quality over quantity, which goes in cycles in this basin.

I don’t know, 2016 was quite quality and quantity to me in the East Pacific. Of course last season died off pretty quickly once we entered August around the time the Atlantic got going.

I’m guessing you expect the East Pacific to once again rob the Atlantic of it’s energy and potential?


I'm quite bullish on the ATL actually. We're in an era where both basins are in their active phase IMO.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#17 Postby DANKENGINE420 » Thu Mar 22, 2018 12:39 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Who wants to answer the following question? Which names will be the big ones in the 2018 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season? (Cat 3 or higher)

I will go with Daniel,Gilma,John,Miriam and Olivia.


Ditto. Same here.

No mate, those names seem overrated for that list.
Imma go for Lane as strongest storm fam
I see Lane becoming a pretty, fishie C4, Lester-type. I also see Kristy trailing with Lane; these two are the power couple of EPac 2018. KRANE.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#18 Postby DANKENGINE420 » Thu Mar 22, 2018 12:52 pm

duration: may 23-november 26
strongest storm: lane (c4)
weakest storm: carlotta
longest lasting: lane
shortest lasting: carlotta
power couple: kristy x lane (krane)*

*both are c4 long-trackers in september
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#19 Postby DANKENGINE420 » Thu Mar 22, 2018 12:54 pm

also i predict that the stars of the show will be from kristy downwards due to possibility of el nino coming in autumn/winter 2018 after a slow beginning

who here is on team lane
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#20 Postby DANKENGINE420 » Thu Mar 22, 2018 3:28 pm

boi

which names on dat list have strong tendencies

as in

which like to be strong hurricanes historically

and which usually stay as weak storms
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