2018 EPAC Season

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cycloneye
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#1261 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 27, 2018 6:43 pm

A low pressure area with disorganized thunderstorm activity has
formed about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system is
possible over the next few days while the low moves to the west or
west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#1262 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 28, 2018 12:43 pm

An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce limited shower activity. Some slow development of this
system is possible over the next several days while the low moves
toward the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#1263 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 28, 2018 6:45 pm

An area of low pressure located about 1100 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this
system is possible over the next several days while the low moves
toward the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#1264 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 30, 2018 12:52 pm

A third area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles
south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions
are forecast to support gradual development of this system through
the weekend while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#1265 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 31, 2018 12:37 pm

A large, but poorly organized, area of disturbed weather is located
several hundred miles south and southwest of the southwestern coast
of Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next several days,
and a tropical depression could form later this week or this weekend
while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#1266 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 31, 2018 6:47 pm

A large area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles
south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely form later this week or this weekend while the system
moves northwestward to northward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#1267 Postby Nancy Smar » Sun Nov 25, 2018 4:57 am

Soon to be Invest 95E(I guess).
TXPZ27 KNES 250622
TCSENP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
B.  25/0600Z
C.  8.9N
D.  116.9W
E.  FIVE/GOES-W
F.  T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS
G.  IR/EIR/SWIR
H.  REMARKS...POSITION BASED ON CSC. GT 0.2 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF
1.0. MET AND PT ARE 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL

...RAMIREZ
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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#1268 Postby cycloneye » Tue Nov 27, 2018 10:40 am

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Re: 2018 EPAC Season

#1269 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Dec 01, 2018 1:30 pm

Well unless something freaky happens in December, this season has finally ended. Very intense season with a lot of long-trackers. Couldn't quite reach the end of the alphabet.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.


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