#112 Postby LarryWx » Mon Jun 11, 2018 2:42 pm
SFLcane wrote:Soooo 8 hrs ago per the NHC the tropics were clear sailing with no development now were at 20% ? What has changed? So cause there is convection in the SW carib now we highlight the area? Not sure what has changed the european remains unimpressed and the overall globals are less aggressive. Fairly inconsistent if you asked me not sure the whole picture behind all this.
There was convection bubbling down there yesterday...
Had this been the first one Stacey Stewart had done in awhile, I would have gone with him being the main reason they finally went with the sensible decision of going with something over 0% because I think he has a tendency to be a bit more bullish. However whereas he had not done any recently before today, he did do the prior one, which was at 0%. So, I don't know how much of finally giving in to a nonzero % was due to him and how much was due to current conditions/satellite pics.
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