Alyono wrote:stormreader wrote:Nimbus wrote:
The Southeastern pole of the trough does appear to be about mid Yucatan as of 8 PM.
You can see some wrap in the surface clouds there.
Could close off as some models have forecast depending on the shear.
Yeah. Very unscientific, but this feature has that “look”. So will be watching tomorrow. Hearing Euro ensemble forecasts of something significant, but NHC says no.
There's a whole 25% chance of development from this area and not until the 6-10 day time frame. May not be this system the EC ensemble is developing
This system is long gone by then, I suspect the remnants of Carlotta crossing over into the BoC