Interesting little low level vorticity this morning north of Hispaniola, east of the northern Bahamas near 26N & 68W No model support for development, in a high pressure environment but still has my attention on it over the next couple of days.
Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
One model support for development, from the Model thread.
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
Only one mention of it on twitter I could find:
Flhurricane
Nothing on the Atlantic TWO, but theres a few areas to watch. E. Bahamas, E. Lesser Antilles, and in the MDR out in the East Alantic as we approach the peak of the season.
https://twitter.com/cfhc/status/1034095298220646401
Flhurricane
Nothing on the Atlantic TWO, but theres a few areas to watch. E. Bahamas, E. Lesser Antilles, and in the MDR out in the East Alantic as we approach the peak of the season.
https://twitter.com/cfhc/status/1034095298220646401
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
It definitely is worth monitoring. We have been very fortunate with no activity occuring in the MDR to this juncture this season. So, it looks like we just will have to maybe look closely within for homegrown systems to potentially develop as we get into September. We shall see.
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
Yeah there's an upper level low on the western side of Cuba that seems to be pulling this (and the weaker area west of it) to the west and the Gulf.
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
of two area i see nhc catching on one off Africa not this one this could in upper level low
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
There's strong 500mb ridging over the western atlantic and SE US that will guide this system into FL and eventually the GOM. Local NWS discussions just indicate increased convection for the peninsula due to an inverted trough this weekend. Definitely something to watch this time of year.
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
Definitely worth watching, seems like a upper high might be building over it and warmer waters ahead. It has my attention.
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- toad strangler
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
FWIW, which isn't much .... 12z CMC does nothing with it. POOF over FL
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
Yep thats the one I mentioned shows up as a nice little pouch on the TPW.
small chance we could see something try.
small chance we could see something try.
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
This area still has no model support (Too small?), but it has persisted mightily over the last two days.
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- Hurricaneman
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Re: Vorticity center north of Hispaniola
Seems like the models show some trough or weak development between the Carolinas and Bermuda with this feature as it meanders for many days with weak steering currents so this needs to be watched carefully
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