Non-Tropical Low Pressure in NE Atlantic (Is Invest 96L)

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Non-Tropical Low Pressure in NE Atlantic (Is Invest 96L)

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 08, 2018 12:41 pm

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Azores in a few days. Some slow tropical or subtropical
development is possible by the middle of next week while the low
moves eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.


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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#2 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:58 pm

2. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Azores in a few days. Some slow tropical or subtropical
development is possible by the middle of next week while the low
moves eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#3 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 09, 2018 6:50 am

8 AM TWO:

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Azores in a few days. Some slow tropical or subtropical
development is possible by the middle of the week while the low
meanders.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#4 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:40 pm

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Azores in two or three days. Some slow tropical or subtropical
development is possible by the middle of the week while the low
moves southwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#5 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 09, 2018 3:45 pm

At least until it becomes 95L or 96L I doubt this will get any attention. Even if it goes all the way to a named storm, it will likely be no more than a historical footnote (part of a quintet?).
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#6 Postby galaxy401 » Sun Sep 09, 2018 5:15 pm

This system could play a huge role in Helene's track if it forms. Seems models have these two systems dancing with each other.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#7 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 09, 2018 6:15 pm

8 PM TWO.

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Azores in two or three days. Some slow tropical or subtropical
development is possible by the end of the week while the low
moves southwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#8 Postby Blinhart » Sun Sep 09, 2018 8:20 pm

cycloneye wrote:8 PM TWO.

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Azores in two or three days. Some slow tropical or subtropical
development is possible by the end of the week while the low
moves southwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.


Will it be invested or even designated before it starts the Fujiwara with Helene?
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#9 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Sep 10, 2018 12:34 am

No change in the 2AM TWO

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Azores in two or three days. Some slow tropical or subtropical
development is possible by the end of the week while the low
moves southwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#10 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 10, 2018 12:50 pm

2 PM TWO:

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Azores in about two days. Environmental conditions are
conducive for some development, and a tropical or subtropical
depression could form by the end of the week while the low moves
erratically over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#11 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 10, 2018 6:37 pm

8 PM TWO:

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Azores in about two days. Environmental conditions are
conducive for some development, and a tropical or subtropical
depression could form by the end of the week while the low moves
erratically over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#12 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 11, 2018 6:46 am

8 AM TWO:

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form along a
trough of low pressure located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
Environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a
tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of the week
while the low meanders over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#13 Postby Blinhart » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:55 am

cycloneye wrote:8 AM TWO:

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form along a
trough of low pressure located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
Environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a
tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of the week
while the low meanders over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


So might become 96L soon.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#14 Postby chaser1 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:12 pm

Blinhart wrote:
cycloneye wrote:8 AM TWO:

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form along a
trough of low pressure located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
Environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a
tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of the week
while the low meanders over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


So might become 96L soon.


Would seem to me that it would be another day perhaps? At least a little closer to the point where there's a more discernible area of disturbed weather. It looks as if perhaps a piece of energy might cut off from the dropping short wave to it's northwest, as it drops to the southeast a bit more
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#15 Postby EquusStorm » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:29 pm

At least the system is finally visible and in place so we can watch it and see what happens with it

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Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.

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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#16 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:41 pm

2 PM TWO:

A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form along a
trough of low pressure located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
Environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a
tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of the week
while the low meanders over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#17 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 11, 2018 6:21 pm

8 PM TWO:

2. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form several
hundred miles west-southwest of the Azores within the next day or
so. Environmental conditions are conducive for some development,
and a tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of
the week while the low meanders over the northeastern Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure to form in NE Atlantic

#18 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 12, 2018 6:52 am

8 AM TWO:

2. A non-tropical area of low pressure located several hundred
miles west-southwest of the Azores is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms and gale-force winds. This system could
gradually acquire tropical or subtropical characteristics during the
next couple of days while it meanders over the northeastern Atlantic
Ocean, and before it becomes absorbed by a larger trough of low
pressure. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low Pressure in NE Atlantic

#19 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 12, 2018 7:16 am

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