2018 Cyclones Retirement
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
What type of name do you think they would use for Michael, Florence and Lane's replacement names?
I have a feeling they would use a name common for Boomers for Michael and Florence, and a name common among Millennials for Lane.
All would be English-language.
I have a feeling they would use a name common for Boomers for Michael and Florence, and a name common among Millennials for Lane.
All would be English-language.
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
IMO Florence and Michael are retirement locks. Lane, I don't really think so but I wouldn't rule it out.
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
CyclonicFury wrote:IMO Florence and Michael are retirement locks. Lane, I don't really think so but I wouldn't rule it out.
OK. But do you think the NHC would stick to Boomer names or look to Millennials/Gen Z-predominant names?
(I mean using the average age of names with the Name Age Calculator, most names on the Atlantic season average out to Boomer-age (with 2019 averaging Gen X))
Anyway I go with Frida and Mickey.
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
DioBrando wrote:What type of name do you think they would use for Michael, Florence and Lane's replacement names?
I have a feeling they would use a name common for Boomers for Michael and Florence, and a name common among Millennials for Lane.
All would be English-language.
I don't think Lane gets retired. It did produce phenomenal rain but most of the impact was in sparsely populated areas.
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
One thing about this season in the Atlantic is that there will be little mystery (so far). We have two OBVIOUS retirement cases (Florence and Michael) and nothing else even remotely warranting consideration. Often there are bubble names.
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
CrazyC83 wrote:One thing about this season in the Atlantic is that there will be little mystery (so far). We have two OBVIOUS retirement cases (Florence and Michael) and nothing else even remotely warranting consideration. Often there are bubble names.
I wouldn't be surprised if France requests Leslie's retirement because of the village flooding disaster. They have done so before for lesser storms (i.e. Klaus).
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
Buck wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:One thing about this season in the Atlantic is that there will be little mystery (so far). We have two OBVIOUS retirement cases (Florence and Michael) and nothing else even remotely warranting consideration. Often there are bubble names.
I wouldn't be surprised if France requests Leslie's retirement because of the village flooding disaster. They have done so before for lesser storms (i.e. Klaus).
If they do, would they request a traditional French name (as in the case with Dorian, Fernand, Nestor?) or stick to an English-language name?
(Also, as a proportion of the Atlantic names, how many are French percentagewise?)
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
My dad's name is Mark and he was in Lynn Haven during the storm. That would be a great replacement from Michael.
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
What are the chances they pick something like Mike for the replacement to Michael? I know people on here and even social media were referring Michael to Mike for short.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.
Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
TheStormExpert wrote:What are the chances they pick something like Mike for the replacement to Michael? I know people on here and even social media were referring Michael to Mike for short.
near 0 tbh
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
DioBrando wrote:
I wouldn't be surprised if France requests Leslie's retirement because of the village flooding disaster. They have done so before for lesser storms (i.e. Klaus).
If they do, would they request a traditional French name (as in the case with Dorian, Fernand, Nestor?) or stick to an English-language name?
(Also, as a proportion of the Atlantic names, how many are French percentagewise?)
Just a point: Dorian is not a "traditional" French name. It only became well-used for French boys after 1983 -- it was only invented as a male name by English author Oscar Wilde for "The Picture of Dorian Gray" in 1891, so it is really not a "traditional" name anywhere. And although you can probably find a few examples of Nestor in France back in the 18th and 19th century, as far as I can tell it has always been rare in France and is more of a Latin American choice as a commonly used name.
If the French ask for Leslie to be replaced, they'd probably give alternatives from among names they are familiar with, which would include names recently popular in France such as Lea, Lilou, Lucie, and Ludivine.
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
Cleveland Kent Evans wrote:DioBrando wrote:
I wouldn't be surprised if France requests Leslie's retirement because of the village flooding disaster. They have done so before for lesser storms (i.e. Klaus).
If they do, would they request a traditional French name (as in the case with Dorian, Fernand, Nestor?) or stick to an English-language name?
(Also, as a proportion of the Atlantic names, how many are French percentagewise?)
Just a point: Dorian is not a "traditional" French name. It only became well-used for French boys after 1983 -- it was only invented as a male name by English author Oscar Wilde for "The Picture of Dorian Gray" in 1891, so it is really not a "traditional" name anywhere. And although you can probably find a few examples of Nestor in France back in the 18th and 19th century, as far as I can tell it has always been rare in France and is more of a Latin American choice as a commonly used name.
If the French ask for Leslie to be replaced, they'd probably give alternatives from among names they are familiar with, which would include names recently popular in France such as Lea, Lilou, Lucie, and Ludivine.
If I remember correctly, they said it was a popular name in Haiti, that's why they replaced Noel with Nestor. I guess it was a "proxy case".
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
Cleveland Kent Evans wrote:DioBrando wrote:
I wouldn't be surprised if France requests Leslie's retirement because of the village flooding disaster. They have done so before for lesser storms (i.e. Klaus).
If they do, would they request a traditional French name (as in the case with Dorian, Fernand, Nestor?) or stick to an English-language name?
(Also, as a proportion of the Atlantic names, how many are French percentagewise?)
Just a point: Dorian is not a "traditional" French name. It only became well-used for French boys after 1983 -- it was only invented as a male name by English author Oscar Wilde for "The Picture of Dorian Gray" in 1891, so it is really not a "traditional" name anywhere. And although you can probably find a few examples of Nestor in France back in the 18th and 19th century, as far as I can tell it has always been rare in France and is more of a Latin American choice as a commonly used name.
If the French ask for Leslie to be replaced, they'd probably give alternatives from among names they are familiar with, which would include names recently popular in France such as Lea, Lilou, Lucie, and Ludivine.
ok
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
but seriously, I would love to see more french names on the hurricane naming lists. we're definitely lacking them. they prolly only make up about 5% of the names tbh
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
I say there's a chance Alberto may even be retired now that its TCR is out. Ten deaths in Cuba with damage levels implied to be significant. Also, while not as destructive for the US as it was in Cuba, it affected a similar area that its 1994 counterpart did which caused $1 billion in damage (1994 USD) and 32 deaths. That may inspire confusion and resultant its retroactive retirement.
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
HurricaneRyan wrote:Willa could make a run for retirement too.
was just going to say that
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
HurricaneRyan wrote:Willa could make a run for retirement too.
We shall see! We likely won't know until after landfall though.
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
The standards seem to be more lenient in Mexico's eyes for Pacific hurricanes than when they come from the Atlantic side. 2005's Emily made two landfalls as a major and caused more deaths in Mexico than either Kenna or Patricia, but was not retired while those latter two were.
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Re: 2018 Cyclones Retirement
SconnieCane wrote:The standards seem to be more lenient in Mexico's eyes for Pacific hurricanes than when they come from the Atlantic side. 2005's Emily made two landfalls as a major and caused more deaths in Mexico than either Kenna or Patricia, but was not retired while those latter two were.
I actually wonder why Mexico is more lenient with Pacific hurricanes than Atlantic hurricanes? Any theories?
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