Historic storms you expect to see in your lifetime

[Hurricane2022]

Now, some of my own predictions:
[*]A tropical depression that forms over Africa while still inland[/list]

Tropical Storm Christine was the first tropical cyclone to form as far east as longitude 30° W in the Atlantic Ocean since Tropical Storm Ginger in 1967. Forming as a tropical depression over the country of Guinea on August 25, 1973, the system tracked nearly due west for several days before intensifying into a tropical storm on August 28. However, the National Hurricane Center did not issue their first advisory on the system until its intensity was confirmed by a reconnaissance aircraft on August 30.
And i was thinking that this never happened before..

[Hurricane2022]

Storms that I would like to see in the next years:

• A sub-880 mb and 175 kt+ hurricane in the Atlantic
• Major Hurricane in the SATL (OTS!!!)
• A great hurricane that crosses all basins of the northern hemisphere (NATL, EPAC, WPAC and NIO) while remaining strong between categories 1 and 5
• A hurricane that produces 75+ points of ACE in the NATL
• "The Hurricane of dreams", which remains between 130 - 160 kt out to sea and has recon the entire time. Or better, a Hurricane Sam 2.0, only even more perfect.

[Hurricaneman]

These are hypothetical but plausible

Andrew repeat but larger at south Florida landfall and cat 5 landfall in New Orleans

Something similar to Hazel, forms in the Caribbean but instead of going into the Carolinas it hit the NE US as a cat 3/4 hurricane

A hurricane hits Spain

A tropical storm or Hurricane doubles back to Africa namely the Canary Islands

Cat 5 hurricane Landfall in Cabo San Lucas

Major Hurricane landfall in Brazil

[Patrick99]

Another Great Miami Hurricane ala 1926 will happen again.

That was such a basic, smooth WNW track under a Bermuda High, I'm surprised it hasn't happened.

[zal0phus]

Within 10 to 15 years:
-A Category 4 or 5 landfall in the Tampa Bay region
-A landfall of at least Category 2 intensity in the Northeast
-A Mitch-like storm that comes late in the season and stalls in the Caribbean
-A major landfall in southeast Florida/the Miami metro. This is the one I'm most certain of, it's just been too long.

By the 2050s:
-A storm that breaks Wilma's record; winds of at least 200mph and a central pressure below 880
-A December Category 5
-A sub-900 landfall on the level of the Labor Day Hurricane, or even stronger
-A sub-900 storm in the open Atlantic

By the end of my life (2070s-onward):
-A Category 5 landfall somewhere north of Florida
-A major hurricane directly into NYC
-A high-end major hurricane in Cabo Verde

[al78]

A hurricane of Patricia's intensity in the Caribbean or Gulf and making landfall close to that intensity.

Another Haiyan-level typhoon killing thousands in a poor part of the world prone to storm surge.

Tampa hit by the front right quadrant of a cat 4 hurricane driving a 15-20 foot storm surge up Tampa Bay (Ian could have done this with slightly different synoptics).

A recurving hurricane interacting with the jet stream in such a way as to bring another October 1987 strength event to the UK.

[ljmac75]

A Hurricane bringing Hurricane conditions inland to Arkansas
A Hurricane breaking Wilma's 882 mbar pressure record in the Atlantic.
Another Cat 5 landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula
A Cat 5 hitting Jamaica
A Hurricane breaking Ivan's record for most tornadoes spawned
A Hurricane bringing Cat 5 conditions to the US without making landfall as a Cat 5
A system forming over the Great Lakes having sufficient characteristics for the NHC to name it or at least issue some kind of special outlook addressing it

[DioBrando]

a hurricane that goes from tropical depression to category 5 within 6 hours (half of the time it took otis)
an Atlantic hurricane that loops back affecting west Africa
a system still receiving advisories in Europe as a bonafide system
a category 5 hitting NYC
a nadine type path but category 5

[Blown Away]

I think a sustained 200 mph hurricane in the Atlantic Basin may happen if these extreme SST's continue...

[CFLHurricane]

I expect to witness a major hurricane that tracks the entire length of I-95 in Florida. We’ve come close a few times in the last decade only to be saved by a last second front.

[Iceresistance]

A Carla repeat for Texas

[Teban54]

Now, some of my own predictions:

• A crossover storm between Atlantic and EPAC that achieves Cat 5 intensity in both basins
• Another major hurricane landfall in Georgia (last MH landfall was 1898, last H landfall was David 1979)
• A tropical or subtropical landfall in New Hampshire or Maine
• The fifth CONUS Cat 5 landfall
• A fully tropical system over the Great Lakes (Alberto 2018 came close)
• A strong hurricane making landfall in two or more consecutive islands in Lesser Antilles between Barbuda and Grenada: taking a north-south track similar to Tammy 2023, but at much higher intensity and directly over the islands
• A major hurricane landfall in South America (whether it's from the Caribbean or South Atlantic)
• A major hurricane landfall on Cabo Verde islands
• A Cat 4+ hurricane in the Caribbean in a moderate or strong non-Modoki El Nino
• Another tropical cyclone landfall in Panama (the only one on record is Martha 1969)
• A tropical depression that forms over Africa while still inland

Adding to my list: A direct hurricane hit on non-Kauai islands of Hawaii.

[cycloneye]

A major hurricane making landfall at the Panamá Canal.

[Beef Stew]

Glad to see this thread revitalized. These are some events that I would wager we'll see happen within in the next 50-60 years:


CONUS:

The first CONUS hurricane to make an operationally classified landfall as a category 5 on the SSHWS

A landfalling hurricane interfering with US Election Day

A high-end category 4 (or stronger) hurricane making landfall at peak intensity in either Palm Beach, Broward, or Miami-Dade county and becoming the most expensive storm on record

Back-to-back years with major hurricanes hitting the Florida peninsula

A category 4 storm making landfall in Georgia (around the Savannah area) for the first time since 1898

A category 4 storm making landfall in the Outer Banks

A (fully tropical) hurricane making landfall in Maine

A major hurricane making landfall in Long Island, NY

A small hurricane that explosively intensifies into a sub 910 mb category 5, as it makes landfall in the southernmost part of Texas near Brownsville.

A hurricane making landfall in the Florida Keys in early December

An 8 year streak with no major CONUS landfalls



Atlantic Basin:

A season with no hurricanes

A season with a record-setting 8 major hurricanes (although I believe this may have happened in 2020 with Sally)

A hurricane that is operationally classified (and officially remains as) a 170 kt storm, setting a wind speed record for the Atlantic

The third-recorded 160 kt landfalling hurricane striking the Yucatan

A season surpassing 1933’s ACE record

A major hurricane making landfall in the Azores

A hurricane dramatically changing course and making landfall somewhere due to the Fujiwhara effect

Two category 5 hurricanes existing simultaneously in the basin (although I personally believe there’s an outside chance this may have already happened with Jose and Irma)

A (fully tropical) hurricane landfall into mainland Portugal

A named storm making landfall in Costa Rica

[Patrick99]

I expect to see a major hurricane, probably a high end Cat 4, landfall in SE FL somewhere in between Kendall Drive in S. Miami, and Southern Blvd in WPB. For sticking out like a sore thumb like this area does, it's hard to believe 1992 was the last time one of the 3 counties was directly hit by a major, and 1950 was the last time Miami, FtL, or WPB was hit by a major. And as expensive as Andrew was, it probably hit the *least* expensive part of SE FL.

I also expect to see a Cat 5 hit somewhere between Savannah and the Outer Banks. That would be novel.

[TheAustinMan]

Within the Atlantic, I think the following are possibilities:

• The landfall of a major hurricane on the Caribbean, Mexico, or US that results in zero fatalities (Bermuda recorded zero fatalities during the landfalls of major hurricanes Gonzalo [2014] and Nicole [2016])
• A Category 2 hurricane in May (this has not happened based on the official HURDAT, but a separate analysis suggests one may have occurred in 1863)
• A Category 4+ hurricane in the Main development region east of the Lesser Antilles in October (should African easterly waves become more frequent late season, as depicted in Brannan and Martin [2018])
• Another major hurricane in the Houston or Miami areas
• The basin landfall intensity record set by the 1935 Labor Day hurricane (892 mbar) being broken
• Records for northernmost tropical storm genesis and northermost hurricane being broken again
• Three simultaneous major hurricanes at some point in the basin
• New statewide records being set for tropical cyclone rainfall in Louisiana (current record: 37.50" in 1940) Mississippi (current record: 32.21" in Georges 1998), and Alabama (current record: 37.75" in Danny 1997)
  

[MarioProtVI]

Within the Atlantic, I think the following are possibilities:

• The landfall of a major hurricane on the Caribbean, Mexico, or US that results in zero fatalities (Bermuda recorded zero fatalities during the landfalls of major hurricanes Gonzalo [2014] and Nicole [2016])
• A Category 2 hurricane in May (this has not happened based on the official HURDAT, but a separate analysis suggests one may have occurred in 1863)
• A Category 4+ hurricane in the Main development region east of the Lesser Antilles in October (should African easterly waves become more frequent late season, as depicted in Brannan and Martin [2018])
• Another major hurricane in the Houston or Miami areas
• The basin landfall intensity record set by the 1935 Labor Day hurricane (892 mbar) being broken
• Records for northernmost tropical storm genesis and northermost hurricane being broken again
• Three simultaneous major hurricanes at some point in the basin
• New statewide records being set for tropical cyclone rainfall in Louisiana (current record: 37.50" in 1940) Mississippi (current record: 32.21" in Georges 1998), and Alabama (current record: 37.75" in Danny 1997)
  

The three simultaneous major hurricanes we came the closest to in 2017 on September 8 when Irma (140 kt at the time), Jose (135 kt) and Katia (90 kt) were active as a C5, 4 and 2 respectively. Had Katia overperformed a little bit more it would’ve gotten there.