Tropical Wave in East Atlantic (Is Invest 93L)

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cycloneye
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Tropical Wave in East Atlantic (Is Invest 93L)

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 07, 2018 6:21 pm

An area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave has
formed a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Conditions appear to be favorable for some development during
the next few days as the system moves westward across the tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.


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Re: Tropical Wave in East Atlantic

#2 Postby EquusStorm » Sun Oct 07, 2018 8:13 pm

Impressively far east for October, especially with hostile shear everywhere. Imagine what a season this would've been without the screaming shear and major SAL outbreaks.
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...but still, though, a lot more interesting than the 2013 season.

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.

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Re: Tropical Wave in East Atlantic

#3 Postby CyclonicFury » Sun Oct 07, 2018 11:27 pm

This October is looking quite busy. It's rare to see a MDR system this late in the year this far to the east - Nana 2008 was similar.
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Re: Tropical Wave in East Atlantic

#4 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 08, 2018 12:18 am

2 AM TWO:

An area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.
This system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms,
and some slow development is possible during the next few days
while it moves west-northwestward. By late this week, however,
upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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Re: Tropical Wave in East Atlantic

#5 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 08, 2018 6:26 am

8 AM TWO:

An area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located
several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Shower and
thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated since last night,
and a tropical depression could form during next few days while it
moves west-northwestward. By late this week, however, upper-level
winds are expected to become unfavorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


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Re: Tropical Wave in East Atlantic (Is Invest 93L)

#6 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 08, 2018 7:33 am

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