2019 WPAC Season

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#241 Postby euro6208 » Wed Jun 19, 2019 7:25 pm

18z GFS similar to the last 2 runs.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#242 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jun 20, 2019 8:55 am

Slower than normal for this season?

 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1141703497852837888




 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1140970417017896960


1 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#243 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jun 21, 2019 7:36 am

I'd hate to track systems this year if the models continue to malafunction. :lol:
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#244 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jun 21, 2019 8:43 pm

Well GFS is back in showing 2 possible TC's. EURO agrees with the one south of Guam but weaker. GFS's SCS system could just be a bust.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#245 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jun 22, 2019 6:22 pm

Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#246 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jun 22, 2019 10:40 pm

95W Thread

Up for system south of Guam. GFS and EURO slightly develops this for the past few runs.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#247 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jun 23, 2019 7:36 am

GFS has a pretty significant TC entering the WPAC from the CPAC. Maybe it's just one run or maybe a sign? Let's see what the future holds...

Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#248 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:21 am

The GFS phantom SCS storm is back.

00Z

Image

06Z

Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#249 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:23 am

euro6208 wrote:GFS has a pretty significant TC entering the WPAC from the CPAC. Maybe it's just one run or maybe a sign? Let's see what the future holds...



Well well...After being dropped for consecutive runs, GFS has it again.


Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#250 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:45 pm

Looks like EURO is now developing the CPAC system. GFS still has it but weaker in the latest run.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#251 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:46 am

GFS

00Z had a 984mb.

06Z at 983mb.

Before landfall over Southern China.

Really interesting.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#252 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jun 27, 2019 7:07 am

Been gone for quite a bit and it looks like EURO is now in agreement in GFS's SCS system.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#253 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jun 27, 2019 7:09 am

Also both still has the CPAC disturbance entering into the WPAC...
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#254 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jun 27, 2019 10:21 am

With TS/STS Sepat's formation, the WPAC ends the drought for named storms that began in February 28.
1 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#255 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jun 28, 2019 6:57 am

Mei-yu front really a killer for this time of year greatly suppressing tropical activity.
1 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#256 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jun 29, 2019 9:17 am

EURO and GFS still in agreement on some kind of formation in the SCS that eventually makes landfall over Southern China.

Image
Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#257 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jun 29, 2019 9:18 am

Although both have dropped the TC entering the WPAC from the dateline.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#258 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jun 30, 2019 6:50 pm

Image
Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#259 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jun 30, 2019 6:51 pm

Other than that, GFS and EURO keeps the basin eerily quiet...
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#260 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jul 01, 2019 6:28 am

96W THREAD

FInally after so many days...
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17, Lizzytiz1 and 104 guests