2019 WPAC Season
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- 1900hurricane
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
I'm thinking we're going to start to see more systems soon. Lots of low level westerlies on guidance around 10ºN through the duration of most runs.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Looks like the models has another dateline long tracker. EURO and GFS shows this and GFS is very robust.
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- 1900hurricane
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Guidance is goofy with some of the solutions, but I do think at least a couple storms are coming in the next 10-14 days.
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
EURO and GFS has a parade of storms dancing magically.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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- 1900hurricane
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Guidance is having a really hard time trying to figure out the WPac right now.
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
06Z GFS finally *zeroing* on the systems now. Not as hectic as pass runs.
00Z
06Z
00Z
06Z
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- 1900hurricane
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
A year ago, Mangkhut was making landfall in Luzon.
https://twitter.com/WXappraiser/status/1172880933210341377
https://twitter.com/WXappraiser/status/1172880933210341377
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
The WPAC looks very active. Not...
We see 3 areas that are struggling to even develop.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS has the EURO system near Japan but dropped the SCS system in the past few runs.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Long range, GFS is having a hard time trying to figure out the WPAC.
It keeps showing phantom storms after another.
It keeps showing phantom storms after another.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
At least in 2018 models were agreeing with formation and intensity with the likes of Mangkhut even in long range, but ever since late 2018 after Yutu and since after Wutip, models just don't know.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
The heavyweights, EURO and GFS, still going crazy. Such a complex environment out there.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
EURO and GFS sensing a slowdown although the runs varies.
Looks like the unfavorable MJO and KW exiting is in play...
ECMWF has sinking motion for the entire WPAC during October although wouldn't be surprised if we have a crossover from the CPAC.
Looks like the unfavorable MJO and KW exiting is in play...
ECMWF has sinking motion for the entire WPAC during October although wouldn't be surprised if we have a crossover from the CPAC.
Last edited by euro6208 on Tue Sep 17, 2019 7:19 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Been almost 2 weeks now with that large monsoonal gyre out there producing several weak invest and a TS. Not only preventing significant developments but also preventing other systems as well.
Makes you wonder what if the gyre wasn't there. We'll likely to see more significant TC's...
Makes you wonder what if the gyre wasn't there. We'll likely to see more significant TC's...
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
This will be interesting.
The 2019 Rugby World Cup will be held in Japan from September 20 to October.
With Tokyo facing it's strongest typhoon ever just this month, What will happen if a typhoon threatens during tournament time?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Rugby_World_Cup
The 2019 Rugby World Cup will be held in Japan from September 20 to October.
With Tokyo facing it's strongest typhoon ever just this month, What will happen if a typhoon threatens during tournament time?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Rugby_World_Cup
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- mrbagyo
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
And the quietness starts.
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