2019 WPAC Season

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euro6208
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#501 Postby euro6208 » Thu Sep 05, 2019 6:59 am

If 95W and this verifies, it would be the 3rd straight major and possibly another weaker TC in between for the Southern Ryukyu Islands according to GFS.

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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#502 Postby euro6208 » Sat Sep 07, 2019 1:40 am

96W THREAD

Up for system near Taiwan.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#503 Postby euro6208 » Sat Sep 07, 2019 1:47 am

Long range EURO has possibly 2 more TC, North and East, of the Marianas.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#504 Postby euro6208 » Sat Sep 07, 2019 1:58 am

18Z GFS is active right behind 95W.

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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#505 Postby euro6208 » Sat Sep 07, 2019 2:02 am

00Z GFS much tamer and agrees with EURO on the one north of the Marianas.

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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#506 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Sep 07, 2019 6:43 am

:lol: at good ol legacy, has that ever happened in the WPAC since TC records began?

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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#507 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Sep 07, 2019 11:33 pm

I imagine there is quite a bit of Dorian fatigue in the meteorological community, but I'm honestly surprised Faxai isn't getting more attention from mets on Twitter and such. It might be weakening a little, but it's still rather strong and headed for quite a large number of people. A fully tropical cyclone vs the typical recurving transitioning system is rather rare for Honshu and could catch some off guard.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#508 Postby euro6208 » Sun Sep 08, 2019 7:52 pm

EURO still has something developing north of the Marianas.

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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#509 Postby euro6208 » Sun Sep 08, 2019 8:04 pm

GFS is wacked.

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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#510 Postby euro6208 » Sun Sep 08, 2019 8:40 pm

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1169306390055346176




 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1169308602869399556


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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#511 Postby euro6208 » Sun Sep 08, 2019 9:01 pm

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Favorable conditions the rest of the month and into October when another round of positive velocity potential is forecast to return.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#512 Postby euro6208 » Sun Sep 08, 2019 9:24 pm

Lowering pressures last week of September into October.

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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#513 Postby euro6208 » Mon Sep 09, 2019 7:42 pm

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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#514 Postby euro6208 » Mon Sep 09, 2019 7:58 pm

GFS has been very optimistic on developing a dateline system which threatens the Marianas down the road.

Development in 3 days and passes north of Saipan in 6 days as a 977mb typhoon.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#515 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Sep 09, 2019 9:42 pm

Dateline system some guidance is showing is the remnants of Akoni I believe.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#516 Postby euro6208 » Tue Sep 10, 2019 7:14 am

Besides the system north of the Marianas that GFS and EURO doesn't want to let go, the EURO is also on board with the Marianas system now.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#517 Postby euro6208 » Tue Sep 10, 2019 7:15 am

GFS continues to spin it up quickly but loses steam as it recurves well northeast of Guam and Saipan.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#518 Postby euro6208 » Tue Sep 10, 2019 7:16 am

Long range

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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#519 Postby euro6208 » Tue Sep 10, 2019 7:22 am

Image

Dateline system looks quite good.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#520 Postby euro6208 » Tue Sep 10, 2019 7:57 pm

97W Thread

Dateline system up.
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