2019 NIO Cyclone Season

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Imran_doomhaMwx
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2019 NIO Cyclone Season

#1 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Mon Dec 31, 2018 10:34 pm

The 2018 season turned out to be an above average season, with many systems breaking/making records. Let's see what 2019 brings.

Next six storm names on the list:
FANI, VAYU, HIKAA, KYARR, MAHA, BULBUL

Looks like the upcoming El Nino will affect the performance of other TC basins, but as far as I know, ENSO has little effect on the Indian Ocean. However, what affects this basin more is the Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD), which you could say is the Indian Ocean version of ENSO. There seems to be a link between ENSO and IOD though. Any more thoughts/insights on this?
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Re: 2019 NIO Cyclone Season

#2 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Mon Dec 31, 2018 11:03 pm

If forecasts verify, TC 36W will move into the Andaman Sea from the NWPac basin in a few days time. Likely to get named by JMA though. If it remains a TC after crossing Malay Peninsula, it will also be counted as the first NIO TC this 2019. Global models indicate that it won't last too long in the NIO though.

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Re: 2019 NIO Cyclone Season

#3 Postby Hurricanehink » Sun Jan 06, 2019 12:46 pm

Imran_doomhaMwx wrote:If forecasts verify, TC 36W will move into the Andaman Sea from the NWPac basin in a few days time. Likely to get named by JMA though. If it remains a TC after crossing Malay Peninsula, it will also be counted as the first NIO TC this 2019. Global models indicate that it won't last too long in the NIO though.

https://i.imgur.com/UpJfbeo.gif

And that’s what happened! Pabuk was the earliest NIO storm on record.
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Re: 2019 NIO Cyclone Season

#4 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Wed Apr 24, 2019 5:46 am

We're approaching the first peak of the NIO cyclone season (the month of May).
INVEST 91B could become a TC in a few days time.

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Re: 2019 NIO Cyclone Season

#5 Postby Hurricanehink » Wed Apr 24, 2019 9:55 am

After the Easter attacks in Sri Lanka, I hope any potential storm stays far away from the island country so they can rebuild and live in peace for a while.
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Re: 2019 NIO Cyclone Season

#6 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Sun Jun 09, 2019 9:10 am

Enhanced convection observed over the NIO as the wet-phase MJO is presently stationed over the region, plus it's the Southwest Monsoon season once again.
Invest 93A over the Arabian Sea likely to become the next storm of the season.

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