2019 Global ACE: NATL - 129.8 - EPAC - 97.5 - WPAC - 269.4- IO - 88.6

[1900hurricane]

Made a real quick lookup graph of Surge Destruction Potential as a function of IKE, in case anyone was curious.



Forgot to label units of IKE as TJ on the graph above, oops...

[galaxy401]

Looks like Dorian is finally going to give the Atlantic a boost in the ACE.

[1900hurricane]

As of 12Z, Dorian is actually the NAtl leader now.

Des,Name,Vmax,ACE,PDI,TS Days,C1 Days,C3 Days,C4 Days,C5 Days,7.5 Days,Seq
01L,ANDREA,35,0.0000,0.000000,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,1
02L,BARRY,65,3.2825,1.678625,3.50,0.25,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,2
03L,THREE,30,0.0000,0.000000,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,3
04L,CHANTAL,35,0.4900,0.171500,1.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,4
05L,DORIAN,55,3.2850,1.518000,4.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,5
06L,ERIN,35,0.3675,0.128625,0.75,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00,6
,TOTAL,,7.4250,3.496750,9.25,0.25,0.00,0.00,0.00,0.00

[1900hurricane]

Unless something really crazy happens with Dorian worth noting, I'll probably wait until after dissipation to post all of my updated statistics. I'll take a screenshot of them in in a spreadsheet program too instead of being lazy and posting the raw .csv format like I did above.

[StruThiO]

Atlantic ACE is skyrocketing thanks to DORIAN.

[1900hurricane]

Because of how small it has been for its existence, Dorian still hasn't caught up to Barry's TIKE total, despite the differences in intensity between the two. It should pass Barry by 12Z though.

[1900hurricane]

For every bt update >= 150 kt, Dorian is producing at least 2.25 units of additional ACE. It crossed 20 units as of 12Z. Dorian is still rather small too. At about 30.6 TJ, it's just a little bit bigger than my previous Andrew '92/Harvey '17 comparisons, but not by too much.

[cycloneye]

How fast things turn.

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1168592904111063040

[HurricaneRyan]

Dorian has been amazing and scary to watch with all the ACE it has pumped out

[Steve]

48.8/48.9 or so right now. We should be somewhere around 52 or 53 tomorrow.

[1900hurricane]

WPac crossed 100 units of ACE and 10000 TJ of TIKE today.

[1900hurricane]

Ok, the 18Z best track point today finally marked Dorian as extratropical, so here are all my updated statistics as of that time. I think I found a way to copy the data that's a good compromise between raw .csv format and taking screenshots. Anyway...

NAtl ACE:

Des Name Vmax ACE PDI TS Days C1 Days C3 Days C4 Days C5 Days 7.5 Days
01L ANDREA 35 0.0000 0.000000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
02L BARRY 65 3.2825 1.678625 3.50 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
03L THREE 30 0.0000 0.000000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
04L CHANTAL 35 0.4900 0.171500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
05L DORIAN 160 47.6225 52.319625 14.00 10.00 4.75 3.25 1.00 0.50
06L ERIN 35 0.3675 0.128625 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
07L FERNAND 45 0.6875 0.289125 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
08L GABRIELLE 50 2.7550 1.195750 3.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL 55.2050 55.783250 24.00 10.25 4.75 3.25 1.00 0.50

EPac ACE:

Des Name Vmax ACE PDI TS Days C1 Days C3 Days C4 Days C5 Days 7.5 Days
01E ALVIN 65 2.8450 1.519000 2.75 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
02E BARBARA 135 19.3450 20.509500 6.00 4.00 2.25 1.75 0.00 0.00
03E COSME 45 0.9325 0.374875 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
04E FOUR 30 0.0000 0.000000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
05E DALILA 40 0.5275 0.192625 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
06E ERICK 115 14.0225 12.049375 7.25 3.25 1.50 0.50 0.00 0.00
07E FLOSSIE 70 7.8350 4.418750 6.75 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
08E GIL 35 0.2450 0.085750 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
09E HENRIETTE 40 0.5275 0.192625 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
10E IVO 60 3.4600 1.732250 3.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
11E JULIETTE 110 14.7750 12.412250 6.50 4.25 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12E AKONI 40 0.4050 0.149750 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
14W FAXAI 0 0.0000 0.000000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL 64.9200 53.636750 37.75 13.00 4.75 2.25 0.00 0.00

WPac ACE:

Des Name Vmax ACE PDI TS Days C1 Days C3 Days C4 Days C5 Days 7.5 Days ST Days
01W ONE 25 0.0000 0.000000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
02W WUTIP 140 32.6775 35.982375 8.50 6.50 4.25 2.75 0.25 0.00 1.25
03W THREE 25 0.0000 0.000000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
04W FOUR 35 0.3675 0.128625 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
05W MUN 35 0.1225 0.042875 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
06W DANAS 45 1.8175 0.716625 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
07W NARI 35 0.6125 0.214375 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
08W WIPHA 40 1.2625 0.449875 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
09W FRANCISCO 75 4.8700 2.479250 5.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
10W LEKIMA 130 17.9050 17.362250 7.25 3.75 2.00 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.25
11W KROSA 100 15.8300 11.038750 10.50 3.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12W BAILU 55 3.0325 1.452375 3.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
13W PODUL 35 0.9800 0.343000 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
14W FAXAI 115 6.7175 5.095125 5.50 1.25 0.50 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00
15W LINGLING 120 15.9275 15.279875 5.75 4.25 2.00 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.00
16W KAJIKI 30 0.0000 0.000000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL 102.1225 90.585375 56.25 19.25 9.25 5.50 0.25 0.00 1.50

NAtl TIKE:

Des Name Vmax Max IKE Track IKE Max SDP
01L ANDREA 35 0.000 0.000 0.0
02L BARRY 65 31.842 246.188 3.1
03L THREE 30 0.000 0.000 0.0
04L CHANTAL 35 1.397 5.237 0.7
05L DORIAN 160 126.349 1673.722 5.1
06L ERIN 35 4.447 13.192 1.2
07L FERNAND 45 5.302 15.448 1.4
08L GABRIELLE 50 29.003 234.944 3.0
TOTAL 2188.733

EPac TIKE:

Des Name Vmax Max IKE Total IKE Max SDP
01E ALVIN 65 3.934 19.054 1.2
02E BARBARA 135 51.532 821.162 3.8
03E COSME 45 15.683 62.017 2.3
04E FOUR 30 0.000 0.000 0.0
05E DALILA 40 4.097 13.645 1.2
06E ERICK 115 23.677 252.038 2.7
07E FLOSSIE 70 20.633 289.809 2.6
08E GIL 35 1.604 2.859 0.7
09E HENRIETTE 40 0.790 2.140 0.5
10E IVO 60 24.551 158.043 2.8
11E JULIETTE 110 24.129 466.227 2.7
12E AKONI 40 2.873 7.079 1.0
14W FAXAI 0 0.000 0.000 0.0
TOTAL 2094.072

WPac TIKE:

Des Name Vmax Max IKE Total IKE Max SDP
01W ONE 25 0.000 0.000 0.0
02W WUTIP 140 77.915 1386.408 4.4
03W THREE 25 0.000 0.000 0.0
04W FOUR 35 5.344 5.770 1.4
05W MUN 35 8.127 8.127 1.7
06W DANAS 45 62.241 478.791 4.0
07W NARI 35 12.767 43.735 2.1
08W WIPHA 40 62.502 162.143 4.0
09W FRANCISCO 75 28.135 352.612 2.9
10W LEKIMA 130 168.721 1963.432 5.5
11W KROSA 100 193.658 3932.933 5.7
12W BAILU 55 55.001 523.131 3.9
13W PODUL 35 21.027 108.628 2.6
14W FAXAI 115 28.745 248.142 3.0
15W LINGLING 120 99.153 989.866 4.7
16W KAJIKI 30 0.000 0.000 0.0
TOTAL 10203.717

NIO ACE and TIKE remain unchanged.

[1900hurricane]

Bah, the eight+ character names/figures are screwing up the format...

[1900hurricane]

Since we have a break in the action...

[cycloneye]

It looks like the North Atlantic will reach and surpass 100 ACE units with future cyclones from 99L and 90L especially from the 90L one that may get a lot.

[galaxy401]

Atlantic might have a chance at surpassing the EPAC now depending on the two invests. There are indications from both that they'll be around for some time and might get strong.

[euro6208]

WPAC still with a strong lead despite not having a September borned Major (Cat3+) and a somewhat below average year if you may call it.

[NotSparta]

WPAC still with a strong lead despite not having a September borned Major (Cat3+) and a somewhat below average year if you may call it.

That's what happens when the basin you're referring to has a climo ACE of twice the next nearest NHem basin

[1900hurricane]

Since the start of March, the WPac actually ranks behind both the NAtl and EPac in terms of ACE. WPac only has 79.2775 in that span while the NAtl has 80.6225 and the EPac has 92.1175. Wutip is literally the only reason the WPac is ahead.

[1900hurricane]

Also, NIO ACE is already 6th highest on record (since 1972). The 36.3025 ACE as of 12Z just passed 2015 for that spot.