2019 Global ACE: NATL - 129.8 - EPAC - 97.5 - WPAC - 269.4- IO - 88.6

[1900hurricane]

 https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/1176182033661472768



 https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/1176183582626340864

[1900hurricane]

Also, NIO ACE is already 6th highest on record (since 1972). The 36.3025 ACE as of 12Z just passed 2015 for that spot.

00Z is up to fifth now with 37.655, passing 1977. It's behind only 1992, 1999, 2013, and 2007 (the recordholder at 46.1275). PDI is actually 4th, ahead of 1992.

[Monsoonjr99]

Since Lorenzo seems poised to pump out some ACE, I think that all it would take for the NAtl to beat the WPac this year in ACE would be the WPac continuing its lackluster performance and a late season monster in the W. Caribbean. Of course, it is unlikely for the NAtl to produce more ACE than the WPac even in a season like this, and the WPac is known for big late season super typhoons even in its down years.

[1900hurricane]

Also, NIO ACE is already 6th highest on record (since 1972). The 36.3025 ACE as of 12Z just passed 2015 for that spot.

00Z is up to fifth now with 37.655, passing 1977. It's behind only 1992, 1999, 2013, and 2007 (the recordholder at 46.1275). PDI is actually 4th, ahead of 1992.

Up to 4th now at 39.42 vs 1992's 39.38. Here's all NIO seasons sorted by ACE from 1972 to now (n = 48).

[StruThiO]

Looks like the Atlantic should pass the EPac at 00z

[TallyTracker]

Looks like the Atlantic should pass the EPac at 00z

https://i.imgur.com/f21hBKg.png

I think it may be possible that Lorenzo could push the Atlantic over the WPAC if it does end up with more than 30 ACE.

[cycloneye]

North Atlantic has surpassed the EPAC thanks to Lorenzo.

[1900hurricane]

NAtl has just passed the EPac using my numbers too. The WPac may hold the NAtl off though with 91W about to develop. Guidance is alluding that it may become rather strong as it approaches the Ryukyus.

[euro6208]

Even in the slowest WPAC season, the WPAC can reign.

[DioBrando]

Even in the slowest WPAC season, the WPAC can reign.

the atlantic is gonna catch up

[Monsoonjr99]

With Mitag expected to intensify quickly to major status, it's now looking less likely that the Atlantic surpasses WPac in ACE even momentarily.

[NDG]

Who would had thought 3 months ago that the NATL was going to be ahead in ACE of the EPAC by this time. Not many.

[OuterBanker]

Lorenzo today said to all that predicted a below ACE year.

BUSTED

[DioBrando]

With Mitag expected to intensify quickly to major status, it's now looking less likely that the Atlantic surpasses WPac in ACE even momentarily.

I'm still gonna add more to the ace totals for the atlantic lol, currently in bathwater

[Ubuntwo]

With Mitag expected to intensify quickly to major status, it's now looking less likely that the Atlantic surpasses WPac in ACE even momentarily.

I'm still gonna add more to the ace totals for the atlantic lol, currently in bathwater

Would hardly say bathwater, SSTs are around 27C. Should be a major for maybe another day and a hurricane for maybe three more on top of that.

[cycloneye]

Wow, Atlantic is getting a big bonus of ACE units thanks to the unprecedented events that Lorenzo has made.

[1900hurricane]

Lorenzo's TIKE is now up to almost 1800 TJ as of 00Z, which puts it as the most in the NAtl this year. In fact, only two NH systems rank above it right now: the WPac's monsoon trough twins of Lekima and Krosa. As about 2000 TJ, Lorenzo is probably gunning down Lekima soon, but is still less than half way to Krosa's nearly 4000 TJ total.

[euro6208]

Still has hope.

[1900hurricane]

The WPac is about to start distancing itself from the other basins a little.

[TorSkk]

Still has hope.

https://i.imgur.com/bvhX6eL.png
https://i.imgur.com/zFS7ayl.png
https://i.imgur.com/FbBykxq.png

What is the drop in ACE at the beginning of September?