Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#21 Postby tolakram » Tue Apr 16, 2019 7:19 am

I am going close to my guess from last year because I feel like it's going to be another odd season, especially with el nino being present now but with no clear idea what it will be like during the heart of the season. Numbers the same, lowering ACE.

15/8/2 ACE: 100 (Final)
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#22 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Apr 16, 2019 7:58 am

13-6-3 ACE 95 El Nino along with a somewhat hostile mdr could keep the season at near normal this year. One of these may be an early spin up prior to season.
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#23 Postby zal0phus » Tue Apr 16, 2019 11:46 am

My prediction is 12/7/4 and 112 ACE, I have a bad feeling about Gabrielle and Karen.
I'm thinking this season's going to resemble 1999.
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#24 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Apr 16, 2019 11:54 am

I see an average to close to average season coming up. 14/5/3. ACE: 125. Preliminary for now.
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#25 Postby galaxy401 » Tue Apr 16, 2019 1:48 pm

Going with 13/6/3 prelim. ACE is 120.
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#26 Postby Hurricane Jed » Tue Apr 16, 2019 7:00 pm

Lets see hmmm, 15/9/5. Prelim
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#27 Postby Ubuntwo » Tue Apr 16, 2019 8:26 pm

I'm going to go with 12/5/2, ACE 90, preliminary. I have a gut feeling this season will be less active.
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#28 Postby cycloneye » Tue Apr 16, 2019 9:24 pm

The list is up to 24 members participating but I will go to sleep and I will add the overnight ones in the morning if they come.
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#29 Postby crownweather » Wed Apr 17, 2019 5:36 am

10/6/3. ACE of 95.

I think that we may end up with Andrea in May as a sub-tropical system off of the southeast US coast. Also, I'm thinking 4 areas are of concern in terms of a tropical storm/hurricane impact -

(1) North Carolina.
(2) Bahamas & South & Western Florida.
(3) Central U.S. Gulf Coast.
(4) Lower & Middle Texas Coast.
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#30 Postby J_J99 » Wed Apr 17, 2019 5:39 pm

14/4/3 ACE of 138 Edit: Numbers preliminary, MH threats final

I think this El Nino does not have the oomf, and I think a Modaki Nino is very likely.

Major Hurricane threat in SE FL and SC/Extreme SE NC are possible Late August - Mid September.

Major Hurricane threat to the Central Gulf Coast, LA(especially SE), MS, Eastern TX Mid August to Late September.

Window of opportunity in October, look out for something for the West Coast of the FL Penninsula. Season will shut down after mid October, as the mild nino finally gets its act together.
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#31 Postby chaser1 » Wed Apr 17, 2019 11:49 pm

crownweather wrote:10/6/3. ACE of 95.

I think that we may end up with Andrea in May as a sub-tropical system off of the southeast US coast. Also, I'm thinking 4 areas are of concern in terms of a tropical storm/hurricane impact -

(1) North Carolina.
(2) Bahamas & South & Western Florida.
(3) Central U.S. Gulf Coast.
(4) Lower & Middle Texas Coast.


I personally think you may have a pretty good handle on this season ;)
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#32 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Apr 18, 2019 2:25 pm

14/5/2
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#33 Postby Shell Mound » Fri Apr 19, 2019 4:17 pm

14 NS / 7 H / 3 MH
ACE: ~120

(Preliminary)
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#34 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 19, 2019 11:02 pm

Preliminary 12/5/2

ACE 80
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#35 Postby Annie Oakley » Sat Apr 20, 2019 7:04 am

12/6/3 Final
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#36 Postby cycloneye » Sat Apr 20, 2019 8:47 am

Good start to the poll with 30 participants in 5 days. Let's keep growing that list.
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#37 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Apr 20, 2019 8:20 pm

9/4/2 ACE of 72
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#38 Postby yoda » Sun Apr 21, 2019 2:25 am

14/5/3 preliminary
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#39 Postby pcbjr » Sun Apr 21, 2019 4:36 pm

11 - 5 - 2
Ace 95
:double:
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Re: Storm2k 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll

#40 Postby pcbjr » Sun Apr 21, 2019 4:38 pm

chaser1 wrote:
crownweather wrote:10/6/3. ACE of 95.

I think that we may end up with Andrea in May as a sub-tropical system off of the southeast US coast. Also, I'm thinking 4 areas are of concern in terms of a tropical storm/hurricane impact -

(1) North Carolina.
(2) Bahamas & South & Western Florida.
(3) Central U.S. Gulf Coast.
(4) Lower & Middle Texas Coast.


I personally think you may have a pretty good handle on this season ;)

Pretty well covers the waterfront ... :eek:
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Just then the wind came squalling through the door,
But who can the weather command?


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