Making this thread as the models are liking it for 3 days and then it fades.
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Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic (Is Invest 93L)
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cycloneye
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Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic (Is Invest 93L)
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cycloneye
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
06z FV3-GFS very briefly spins it.
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USTropics
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
55% of the 06z GFS ensembles forecast development:
00z ECMWF ensembles are also increasing in probability of development:
00z ECMWF ensembles are also increasing in probability of development:
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SEASON_CANCELED
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
its too early
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:its too early
Disagree. Models are showing cyclogenesis within 48 hours. Creating an Invest would be very appropriate. If this was in the GoM it would have been tagged yesterday.
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cycloneye
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
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cycloneye
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
12z FV3-GFS continues to have the same scenario of a brief spin and fades fast.
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cycloneye
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
At least there is no big sal outbreak near the wave so it has some room for now to stay healthy.
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floridasun78
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
i see have good spin not sure if nhc will look at it because were it is near Africa this not aug when we look to east plus SAL strong coming out afica
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shiny-pebble
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
Wouldn't be surprised if this is just like Beryl last year.
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Not an meteorologist! Just someone who is interested in weather. Please refer to the NHC and local weather officials to make decisions.
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jlauderdal
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
floridasun78 wrote:i see have good spin not sure if nhc will look at it because were it is near Africa this not aug when we look to east plus SAL strong coming out afica
when craig setzer on channel 4 gets concerned then we should too, this system looks DOA
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floridasun78
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
jlauderdal wrote:floridasun78 wrote:i see have good spin not sure if nhc will look at it because were it is near Africa this not aug when we look to east plus SAL strong coming out afica
when craig setzer on channel 4 gets concerned then we should too, this system looks DOA
this not part season we dont worry about wave off Africa in aug we do he say waves coming off Africa more active
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NotSparta
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
jlauderdal wrote:floridasun78 wrote:i see have good spin not sure if nhc will look at it because were it is near Africa this not aug when we look to east plus SAL strong coming out afica
when craig setzer on channel 4 gets concerned then we should too, this system looks DOA
Development or not these systems never make it to CONUS
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This post was probably an opinion of mine, and in no way is official. Please refer to http://www.hurricanes.gov for official tropical analysis and advisories.
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jlauderdal
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
NotSparta wrote:jlauderdal wrote:floridasun78 wrote:i see have good spin not sure if nhc will look at it because were it is near Africa this not aug when we look to east plus SAL strong coming out afica
when craig setzer on channel 4 gets concerned then we should too, this system looks DOA
Development or not these systems never make it to CONUS
systems coming off Africa never make it?
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NotSparta
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
jlauderdal wrote:NotSparta wrote:jlauderdal wrote:when craig setzer on channel 4 gets concerned then we should too, this system looks DOA
Development or not these systems never make it to CONUS
systems coming off Africa never make it?
Well, not in July. Forgot to put in that part. August and Sept they can
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This post was probably an opinion of mine, and in no way is official. Please refer to http://www.hurricanes.gov for official tropical analysis and advisories.
My website, with lots of tropical wx graphics, including satellite and recon: http://cyclonicwx.com
My website, with lots of tropical wx graphics, including satellite and recon: http://cyclonicwx.com
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jlauderdal
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
the systems to really watch are when they develop inside of 60Wfloridasun78 wrote:jlauderdal wrote:floridasun78 wrote:i see have good spin not sure if nhc will look at it because were it is near Africa this not aug when we look to east plus SAL strong coming out afica
when craig setzer on channel 4 gets concerned then we should too, this system looks DOA
this not part season we dont worry about wave off Africa in aug we do he say waves coming off Africa more active
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floridasun78
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
jlauderdal wrote:the systems to really watch are when they develop inside of 60Wfloridasun78 wrote:jlauderdal wrote:when craig setzer on channel 4 gets concerned then we should too, this system looks DOA
this not part season we dont worry about wave off Africa in aug we do he say waves coming off Africa more active
issue round 60w their alot SAL
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floridasun78
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
the spin under 10 n that could allow it form not shear area and sal bit west of itStruThiO wrote:https://i.imgur.com/hMGFH20.gif
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