How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

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How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

Poll ended at Wed Jul 31, 2019 9:26 pm

None
0
No votes
One
0
No votes
Two
7
14%
Three
20
39%
Four
18
35%
Five or more
6
12%
 
Total votes: 51

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CyclonicFury
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How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#1 Postby CyclonicFury » Mon Jul 22, 2019 9:08 pm

I'm going to go with four. One early in the month, and a burst of a few late in the month nearing the climatological peak.

Mods, can you make this a poll please?
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#2 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jul 22, 2019 9:26 pm

Added poll to run through the end of this month.

Voted 3
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#3 Postby Monsoonjr99 » Tue Jul 23, 2019 12:30 am

I voted five or more, though I specifically think five storms will form in August. Atl seems favorable this year; MJO/CCKW early in the month and climo later in the month. I don't think this August will be a repeat of last year.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#4 Postby dexterlabio » Tue Jul 23, 2019 2:03 am

I voted 5 or more. :lol: Although this is under the impression that this year could be some sort of 2017.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#5 Postby tolakram » Tue Jul 23, 2019 6:39 am

Two.

If August is busy I think it will come at the end of the month. I honestly have no clue since water temps say el nino is gone but atmosphere says it's still here.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#6 Postby Shell Mound » Tue Jul 23, 2019 7:20 am

Five or more, mostly on or after 15 August, with one earlier in the month
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#7 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 23, 2019 7:25 am

Voted Three and all after the 15th.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#8 Postby Chris90 » Tue Jul 23, 2019 9:50 am

I voted for three, and I'm honestly surprised to see that four currently has the most votes, with all the bearish talk in the indicators thread right now.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#9 Postby chaser1 » Wed Jul 24, 2019 1:06 am

One "real" storm during August. In spite of that however, I voted for 3 because NHC will most certainly find 2-3 small eddy's that'll last for at least a few hours each prior to getting sheared apart.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#10 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Jul 26, 2019 1:33 pm

I'm going with 3 - one of which becomes a hurricane (and a major).
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#11 Postby gatorcane » Fri Jul 26, 2019 3:04 pm

Going with 3
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#12 Postby Hammy » Fri Jul 26, 2019 5:11 pm

Two, both subtropical in origin, same as last year.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#13 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Jul 26, 2019 5:23 pm

Three, I’m starting to think the Atlantic will wake up more once the soon to awaken East Pacific dies down. Could be a back-loaded season as a few have mentioned.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#14 Postby Shell Mound » Sat Jul 27, 2019 1:33 am

TheStormExpert wrote:Three, I’m starting to think the Atlantic will wake up more once the soon to awaken East Pacific dies down. Could be a back-loaded season as a few have mentioned.

That's why it's never a good idea to declare "season cancel" in late July. :wink:
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#15 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sat Jul 27, 2019 1:43 am

I voted for 3-Its almost showtime in the Atlantic-Fair/safe weather for all Land areas please! We don't want your stinking hurricanes! :D
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#16 Postby DioBrando » Thu Aug 01, 2019 1:50 pm

Think I should have put 2 rather than 3 now
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#17 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Aug 01, 2019 4:49 pm

I am going with just 2 storms. As we are seeing now just how SAL influence remaining very strong out in the MDR. We will get lucky to see even 1 storm develop out there later this month if this continues. I think we will get at least another closer to home (homebrew developer) again later this month, likely either in the GOM or off the SE U.S. Coast.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#18 Postby chaser1 » Thu Aug 01, 2019 7:49 pm

northjaxpro wrote:I am going with just 2 storms. As we are seeing now just how SAL influence remaining very strong out in the MDR. We will get lucky to see even 1 storm develop out there later this month if this continues. I think we will get at least another closer to home (homebrew developer) again later this month, likely either in the GOM or off the SE U.S. Coast.


:uarrow: The way things are looking, 1 or 2 may very well be right on the money. The 400mb-700mb relative humidity forecast charts out to about Aug. 15 paint a pretty "dusty" picture for a good deal of the MDR. I'll be surprised if the next one or two storms that do eventually form, are south of 20N.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#19 Postby dexterlabio » Fri Aug 02, 2019 2:26 am

For the sake of gambling thrill, I'm sticking with 5 or more... Who knows what will be up when the SAL is gone, things can happen really fast.
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Re: How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August?

#20 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Fri Aug 02, 2019 7:56 am

Missed the vote; going with one.
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