Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season
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Blown Away
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: CSU= 24/12/5 / TSR=20/10/4 / NOAA 11 AM EDT
Wow, those are huge #’s for normally conservative CSU. Man if that verifies there will be tons of hurricane days for us to track.
Last edited by Blown Away on Thu Aug 06, 2020 7:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA 11 AM EDT
NOAA had in the May forecast 13-19 named storms, 6-10 Hurricanes and 3-6 Major Hurricanes. Let's see if they leave them the same or they go up.
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SFLcane
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA 11 AM EDT
cycloneye wrote:NOAA had in the May forecast 13-19 named storms, 6-10 Hurricanes and 3-6 Major Hurricanes. Let's see if they leave them the same or they go up.
Doubtful they leave the same.
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TheStormExpert
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA 11 AM EDT
SFLcane wrote:cycloneye wrote:NOAA had in the May forecast 13-19 named storms, 6-10 Hurricanes and 3-6 Major Hurricanes. Let's see if they leave them the same or they go up.
Doubtful they leave the same.
I'm thinking they go with 18-24 Named Storms, 8-12 Hurricanes and 3-6 Major Hurricanes.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.
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toad strangler
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA 11 AM EDT
SFLcane wrote:cycloneye wrote:NOAA had in the May forecast 13-19 named storms, 6-10 Hurricanes and 3-6 Major Hurricanes. Let's see if they leave them the same or they go up.
Doubtful they leave the same.
Agree, in 2017 they upped their forecast in August given indicators at the time and I would expect they won't ignore indicators this go around either.
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mcheer23
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA 11 AM EDT
NOAA
19-25 storms
7-11 hurricanes
3-6 majors
19-25 storms
7-11 hurricanes
3-6 majors
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toad strangler
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=
One more named than CSU and 1 storm higher max for majors.
Last edited by toad strangler on Thu Aug 06, 2020 10:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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SFLcane
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA 11 AM EDT
mcheer23 wrote:NOAA
19-25 storms
7-11 hurricanes
3-6 majors
Incredible!
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toad strangler
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=
“This year, we expect more, stronger, and longer-lived storms than average, and our predicted ACE range extends well above NOAA’s threshold for an extremely active season,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=19-25 named storms,
2020: the year that NOAA's median calls for more named storms than there are names.
Enjoy the early August lull while it lasts- there are plenty of sleepless nights ahead.
Enjoy the early August lull while it lasts- there are plenty of sleepless nights ahead.
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=19-25 named storms, 7-11 Hurricanes, 3-6 Majors
I believe the record is 28 named storms. Can some one confirm?
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=19-25 named storms, 7-11 Hurricanes, 3-6 Majors
Joe Snow wrote:I believe the record is 28 named storms. Can some one confirm?
Yes. 28 in 2005.
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=19-25 named storms, 7-11 Hurricanes, 3-6 Majors
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=19-25 named storms, 7-11 Hurricanes, 3-6 Majors
I would’ve gone with 9-13 hurricanes, personally. 7–11 seems a bit low imo considering we’ve already had 2.
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ouragans
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=19-25 named storms, 7-11 Hurricanes, 3-6 Majors
Keep in mind CSU's forecast on August 5, 2005 was 20 TS, and TSR was 24
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This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
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SFLcane
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=19-25 named storms, 7-11 Hurricanes, 3-6 Majors
Keep in mind all these storms are suppose to happen in a short span of 30-50 days atleast the capeverde season. It’s almost to much to fathom honestly.
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toad strangler
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=19-25 named storms, 7-11 Hurricanes, 3-6 Majors
SFLcane wrote:Keep in mind all these storms are suppose to happen in a short span of 30-50 days atleast the capeverde season. It’s almost to much to fathom honestly.
84 days.
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SFLcane
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA=19-25 named storms, 7-11 Hurricanes, 3-6 Majors
toad strangler wrote:SFLcane wrote:Keep in mind all these storms are suppose to happen in a short span of 30-50 days atleast the capeverde season. It’s almost to much to fathom honestly.
84 days.
Na ace generating storms about a month and a half during cape verde season.
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