2020 WPAC Season

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euro6208
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#601 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 30, 2020 7:17 am

Pre-Etau?

91W thread
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#602 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 30, 2020 9:06 pm

Record low ACE with decent storm counts with literally untapped energy then bam Goni became that one storm that finally tapped into the insane amount of OHC WPAC has stored up all summer long.

Goni the strongest TC so far this year.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#603 Postby Shell Mound » Sat Oct 31, 2020 3:24 am

euro6208 wrote:Record low ACE with decent storm counts with literally untapped energy then bam Goni became that one storm that finally tapped into the insane amount of OHC WPAC has stored up all summer long.

Goni the strongest TC so far this year.

This is basically the WPAC’s counterpart to the Atlantic’s 1992 (Andrew) and the EPAC’s 2010 (Agatha), at least in terms of high-impact “exceptions.”
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#604 Postby euro6208 » Sat Oct 31, 2020 7:13 am

Vamco is back again. Horrible for disaster stricken Philippines and flood stricken Vietnam.

Development in 264 hours.

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#605 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Oct 31, 2020 2:35 pm

Just like 2010, 2020 started with a bang :eek:
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#606 Postby euro6208 » Sun Nov 01, 2020 7:26 am

Development in 228 hours.

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#607 Postby euro6208 » Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:49 am

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#608 Postby euro6208 » Sun Nov 01, 2020 10:28 am

What a horrible season for the Philippines and Vietnam. Already 6 TC's have passed through the Philippines and into Vietnam causing widespread flooding with Vietnam taking the brunt.

Goni into the Philippines and models take it to Vietnam.

Atsani into Luzon and models take it into Vietnam.

Future Etau same.

and now GFS takes Vamco into the southern portion of the P.I into southern Vietnam. Ouch.

These TC's may be weak with the exception of Goni, but all that rain/flooding is the killer.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#609 Postby euro6208 » Sun Nov 01, 2020 11:38 am

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#610 Postby aspen » Sun Nov 01, 2020 11:43 am


That anticyclone has made 91W one of the best looking invests of the year. Atsani finally looks somewhat decent too.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#611 Postby euro6208 » Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:49 pm

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#612 Postby Hayabusa » Sun Nov 01, 2020 11:37 pm

00Z GFS continues to be active, 12Z ECMWF has something too within 10 days
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#613 Postby euro6208 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:52 am

GFS continues with Etau and Vamco mid to long range.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#614 Postby euro6208 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:32 pm

12z GFS had 4-5 TC's developing and now 18z only 1, which is the remnants of the previous invest 91w.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#615 Postby ClarCari » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:44 pm

yea WPAC called! They want their Super Typhoon monster currently in the Caribbean back! :grr:
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#616 Postby mrbagyo » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:11 pm

future 92W

GFS develops this one and moves it towards the Bicol region again
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#617 Postby euro6208 » Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:09 am

:uarrow:


EURO and GFS develops that with the latter strengthens it to a TS in the SCS.

Also both are in agreement that another system will develop behind and affecting the Taiwan/ Okinawa area with GFS showing a significant typhoon.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#618 Postby euro6208 » Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:40 am

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#619 Postby euro6208 » Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:49 am

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#620 Postby euro6208 » Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:56 pm

Strongest run so far peaking at 956 mb.


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