2020 Global ACE: NATL - 179.8 - EPAC - 76.5 - WPAC - 148.5 - NIO - 19.2

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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 60.8 - EPAC - 50.0 - WPAC - 67.1 - NIO - 19.2

#101 Postby toad strangler » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:05 pm

storminabox wrote:
cycloneye wrote:North Atlantic begins to acelerate in the count to 100 units.


Yeah these low ACE talks are going to become obsolete within the next few days. The Atlantic will be dealing with it's most substantial ACE increase by far in the coming days. Wouldn't be surprised if we had 100-120 ACE by the end of this week.


Just like ALL of the others this season. SAL, SST's, Mid Level Dry Air, and on and on. :Can:
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 64.6 - EPAC - 50.5 - WPAC - 67.1 - NIO - 19.2

#102 Postby tiger_deF » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:02 am

And just like that, the NATL has officially passed the WPAC in ACE
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 66.5 - EPAC - 50.7 - WPAC - 67.1 - NIO - 19.2

#103 Postby gfsperpendicular » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:25 am

Also, Paulette ties Laura for top single-storm ACE.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 64.6 - EPAC - 50.5 - WPAC - 67.1 - NIO - 19.2

#104 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:33 am

tiger_deF wrote:And just like that, the NATL has officially passed the WPAC in ACE


Almost, but it will at the 5 PM block.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 68.1 - EPAC - 51.0 - WPAC - 67.1 - NIO - 19.2

#105 Postby Hammy » Tue Sep 15, 2020 7:38 pm

It's officially impossible now to lag with the ACE for any given point because 68 is the minimum number for the "near normal"/average range.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 68.1 - EPAC - 51.0 - WPAC - 67.1 - NIO - 19.2

#106 Postby storminabox » Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:25 pm

Hammy wrote:It's officially impossible now to lag with the ACE for any given point because 68 is the minimum number for the "near normal"/average range.


What do you mean by this? I thought the normal ACE was near 100.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 68.1 - EPAC - 51.0 - WPAC - 67.1 - NIO - 19.2

#107 Postby Hammy » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:24 pm

storminabox wrote:
Hammy wrote:It's officially impossible now to lag with the ACE for any given point because 68 is the minimum number for the "near normal"/average range.


What do you mean by this? I thought the normal ACE was near 100.


66-110 is the 'near normal' or average range, with 89 being the median. Anything over 110 is above normal.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 68.1 - EPAC - 51.0 - WPAC - 67.1 - NIO - 19.2

#108 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:26 pm

Hammy wrote:
storminabox wrote:
Hammy wrote:It's officially impossible now to lag with the ACE for any given point because 68 is the minimum number for the "near normal"/average range.


What do you mean by this? I thought the normal ACE was near 100.


66-110 is the 'near normal' or average range, with 89 being the median. Anything over 110 is above normal.

Isn't hyperactive 153?
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 68.1 - EPAC - 51.0 - WPAC - 67.1 - NIO - 19.2

#109 Postby Hammy » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:05 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Hammy wrote:
storminabox wrote:
What do you mean by this? I thought the normal ACE was near 100.


66-110 is the 'near normal' or average range, with 89 being the median. Anything over 110 is above normal.

Isn't hyperactive 153?


It appears so, something I was mistaken on as I thought it was over 165. But 111+ is still above normal.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 70.0 - EPAC - 51.3 - WPAC - 67.3 - NIO - 19.2

#110 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:28 pm

NAtl getting ready to pass the WPac again in ACE, though the latter still holds a commanding TIKE lead.

Image
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 72.5 - EPAC - 51.5 - WPAC - 67.5 - NIO - 19.2

#111 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Sep 16, 2020 7:15 am

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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 74.0 - EPAC - 51.6 - WPAC - 67.7 - NIO - 19.2

#112 Postby Blinhart » Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:58 am

Could we possibly set an all time high record in storms and ACE? What is the record for ACE in the NATL?
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 74.0 - EPAC - 51.6 - WPAC - 67.7 - NIO - 19.2

#113 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Sep 16, 2020 11:08 am

259.4275 units in 1933.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 74.0 - EPAC - 51.6 - WPAC - 67.7 - NIO - 19.2

#114 Postby plasticup » Wed Sep 16, 2020 11:09 am

Blinhart wrote:Could we possibly set an all time high record in storms and ACE? What is the record for ACE in the NATL?


1933 had 258 ACE
2005 had 250 ACE

So far 2020 has 74. We are at less than 30% of the record.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 74.0 - EPAC - 51.6 - WPAC - 67.7 - NIO - 19.2

#115 Postby Blinhart » Wed Sep 16, 2020 11:13 am

plasticup wrote:
Blinhart wrote:Could we possibly set an all time high record in storms and ACE? What is the record for ACE in the NATL?


1933 had 258 ACE
2005 had 250 ACE

So far 2020 has 74. We are at less than 30% of the record.


Yeah but Teddy should get probably 50 or so in ACE, depending on how strong he gets and how long he lasts, plus Paulette could be around for another week or 2, and Sally might reform once she gets back offshore the coast of NC/SC. Also we have another 3 months left in the year.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 74.0 - EPAC - 51.6 - WPAC - 67.7 - NIO - 19.2

#116 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Sep 16, 2020 11:16 am

Thinking after Teddy we end up with an ACE ~110.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 74.0 - EPAC - 51.6 - WPAC - 67.7 - NIO - 19.2

#117 Postby plasticup » Wed Sep 16, 2020 11:21 am

Blinhart wrote:
plasticup wrote:
Blinhart wrote:Could we possibly set an all time high record in storms and ACE? What is the record for ACE in the NATL?


1933 had 258 ACE
2005 had 250 ACE

So far 2020 has 74. We are at less than 30% of the record.


Yeah but Teddy should get probably 50 or so in ACE, depending on how strong he gets and how long he lasts, plus Paulette could be around for another week or 2, and Sally might reform once she gets back offshore the coast of NC/SC. Also we have another 3 months left in the year.


Paulette is already post-tropical and therefore not ACE generating. Teddy will be strong but 50 ACE would put it in the Top 10 all time. It will be moving too fast (and therefore too short-lived) to generate more than 30 ACE.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 74.0 - EPAC - 51.6 - WPAC - 67.7 - NIO - 19.2

#118 Postby Blinhart » Wed Sep 16, 2020 11:29 am

plasticup wrote:
Blinhart wrote:
plasticup wrote:
1933 had 258 ACE
2005 had 250 ACE

So far 2020 has 74. We are at less than 30% of the record.


Yeah but Teddy should get probably 50 or so in ACE, depending on how strong he gets and how long he lasts, plus Paulette could be around for another week or 2, and Sally might reform once she gets back offshore the coast of NC/SC. Also we have another 3 months left in the year.


Paulette is already post-tropical and therefore not ACE generating. Teddy will be strong but 50 ACE would put it in the Top 10 all time. It will be moving too fast (and therefore too short-lived) to generate more than 30 ACE.


They say that Paulette might regain either Tropical or Sub-tropical characteristics, therefore gaining ACE again. Teddy and the models can't agree on what he will do, I think we can have 2 or 3 more storms that gain at least 25 points. And all the other storms that will form who knows how much they will form. However 260 would be hard to reach but the way this season is going I think it is possible.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 74.0 - EPAC - 51.6 - WPAC - 67.7 - NIO - 19.2

#119 Postby gfsperpendicular » Wed Sep 16, 2020 12:20 pm

Blinhart wrote:Could we possibly set an all time high record in storms and ACE? What is the record for ACE in the NATL?


Regardless of the ACE record (which seems pretty safe) that storms record has a great chance at falling.
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Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 75.2 - EPAC - 51.6 - WPAC - 67.9 - NIO - 19.2

#120 Postby storminabox » Wed Sep 16, 2020 8:04 pm

I personally believe that we'll end up with 150-170 ACE by the time the season is over. Let's see how I do.
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