CyclonicFury wrote:aspen wrote:Imagine if that Caribbean system becomes another Cat 4+ storm like Eta. This would be a first for any November, but then again, it’s 2020. It doesn’t know when to chill out, and the Caribbean has been a hotspot for systems over the last month or so.
It's almost as if the Caribbean is trying to make up for its decade of inactivity over a two month period
It even tried a Wilma 2.0....twice. Delta was tripped by mid-level shear and Eta was a standard 130-145 kt system wearing a T#8.5 mask.
Eta bombed out in a region with OHC no more than half as high as the NW Caribbean, and yet it still became a powerful Cat 4/5 pinhole with the most impressive Dvorak/IR presentation in years (mainly due to cooler troposphere temps this time of year, IIRC). If something is able to bomb out in the NWCar, it could also challenge the 1932 Cuba hurricane for the strongest November TC, even though it’s possible Eta did get below 915 mbar when recon wasn’t there.