When will Bertha form?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

When will Bertha form?

Poll ended at Sun May 24, 2020 12:41 pm

May 21-31
10
13%
June 1-10
38
48%
June 11-20
20
25%
June 21-30
4
5%
July 1-10
3
4%
July 11-20
1
1%
July 21-31
1
1%
August and Beyond
2
3%
 
Total votes: 79

Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 119038
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

When will Bertha form?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 17, 2020 12:41 pm

Now that Arthur formed,let's see what the peeps think about the second named storm will form. Poll will close on May 24 at 1:41 PM EDT.

I voted June 11-20
2 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
CyclonicFury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1145
Age: 21
Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 12:32 pm
Location: NC
Contact:

Re: When will Bertha form?

#2 Postby CyclonicFury » Sun May 17, 2020 12:44 pm

Voted June 1-10, there appears to be a MJO/CCKW starting over the Indian Ocean, and we will likely need to watch for CAG formation once the MJO enters phase 8/1. So far I have been wrong on every poll like this though.
3 likes   
NCSU meteorology student and weather blogger at www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
Abdullah
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 188
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 4:28 pm
Location: Broward County, FL, Earth

Re: When will Bertha form?

#3 Postby Abdullah » Sun May 17, 2020 12:55 pm

CyclonicFury wrote:Voted June 1-10, there appears to be a MJO/CCKW starting over the Indian Ocean, and we will likely need to watch for CAG formation once the MJO enters phase 8/1. So far I have been wrong on every poll like this though.


I voted the same because I had a hunch.
0 likes   
Thank you for reading my (probably uninformed and ignorant) comment or post.
Have a nice day.

Kat5
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 113
Joined: Tue Jul 07, 2009 5:28 pm

Re: When will Bertha form?

#4 Postby Kat5 » Sun May 17, 2020 12:58 pm

June 11-20th sounds good to me.
1 likes   

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11927
Age: 21
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Norman, Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: When will Bertha form?

#5 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun May 17, 2020 1:59 pm

0 likes   

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1764
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: When will Bertha form?

#6 Postby AnnularCane » Sun May 17, 2020 2:09 pm

I was originally thinking July (not sure why though...maybe 2008 on the brain?), but now I think I'll go with June, although I'm not sure what date range.
1 likes   

User avatar
Chris90
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 403
Age: 30
Joined: Thu Jun 01, 2017 9:36 pm

Re: When will Bertha form?

#7 Postby Chris90 » Sun May 17, 2020 5:39 pm

I voted June 1-10th. I think we'll manage to pull off 2 storms in June.
I'll throw in Cristobal for June 11-20th as a bonus vote.
1 likes   
Summer vibes :sun:

User avatar
aspen
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 954
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm

Re: When will Bertha form?

#8 Postby aspen » Sun May 17, 2020 6:19 pm

I can’t decide between a dead June like 2018 and 2019, or an early June system forming in the Gulf or western Caribbean due to that Kelvin wave.
0 likes   
I am a meteorology enthusiast, not a professional meteorologist; take what I say lightly and look to your local weather agency (NHC, CPHC, JTWC, etc) or the pros for better information.

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6738
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: When will Bertha form?

#9 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun May 17, 2020 9:25 pm

I'm going with the first week of June in the NW Caribbean, from there it'll head NE towards Florida.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3311
Age: 59
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re: When will Bertha form?

#10 Postby chaser1 » Mon May 18, 2020 9:00 am

I'd go with June 8-12 but that isn't an option LOL
2 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



GSBHurricane
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 94
Joined: Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:12 am

Re: When will Bertha form?

#11 Postby GSBHurricane » Mon May 18, 2020 6:41 pm

Voted for July 1-10
0 likes   

wayne1701
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 10
Joined: Sun Apr 26, 2020 3:38 pm

Re: When will Bertha form?

#12 Postby wayne1701 » Mon May 18, 2020 8:35 pm

Between May 18 and June 10. A monsoon spin develops over Central America from a Kelvin Wave.
0 likes   

User avatar
Miami Storm Tracker
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 832
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2010 10:12 pm
Location: Miami, Fla.
Contact:

Re: When will Bertha form?

#13 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Tue May 19, 2020 7:51 am

Morning all

Going with June 11th to the 20th, but let's really reach and say the 16th. :flag:
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8168
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: When will Bertha form?

#14 Postby northjaxpro » Tue May 19, 2020 9:04 am

June 7
1 likes   
Monitoring the 2020 Meteorological Summer Season and North Atlantic Hurricane Season from Northeast Florida

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

BadLarry95
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 47
Joined: Thu Apr 28, 2016 9:40 pm

Re: When will Bertha form?

#15 Postby BadLarry95 » Tue May 19, 2020 2:04 pm

Early June. NW Caribbean or the Gulf
1 likes   

User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3311
Age: 59
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re: When will Bertha form?

#16 Postby chaser1 » Wed May 20, 2020 11:03 pm

W. Caribbean June 2nd, 5:00 pm
2 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6738
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: When will Bertha form?

#17 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu May 21, 2020 10:02 am

Whoever voted June 1st-10th or June 11th-20th has a likely decent shot of being correct.

 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1263480919962206208


0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
HurricaneEnzo
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 176
Joined: Wed Mar 14, 2018 12:18 pm
Location: Atlantic, NC (Hurricane Alley)

Re: When will Bertha form?

#18 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Thu May 21, 2020 3:13 pm

Got Arthur right with a May prediction. Going June 1-10 for Bertha. Likely a CAG spawned system.
0 likes   
96'-Bertha 96'-Fran 98'-Bonnie 99'-Dennis 99'-Floyd 03'-Isabel 04'-Alex 05'-Ophelia 11'-Irene 14'-Arthur 16'-Matthew 18'-Florence 19'-Dorain (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)

I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Take everything I say with a grain of salt and get your weather forecasts from the Pros!

plasticup
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1049
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 2010 5:49 pm
Location: Bermuda

Re: When will Bertha form?

#19 Postby plasticup » Thu May 21, 2020 3:44 pm

GFS is popping around the 10 day mark - I think we'll see something May 30/31
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 119038
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: When will Bertha form?

#20 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 22, 2020 8:17 pm

Good participation so far with 69 entries to the poll but time is running out for those who have not voted as the poll closes next Sunday at 1:41 PM EDT.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: aspen, Big O, PTrackerLA and 30 guests