When will Bertha form?

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun May 17, 2020 12:41 pm

Now that Arthur formed,let's see what the peeps think about the second named storm will form. Poll will close on May 24 at 1:41 PM EDT.

I voted June 11-20

CyclonicFury · #2 Postby **CyclonicFury** » Sun May 17, 2020 12:44 pm

Voted June 1-10, there appears to be a MJO/CCKW starting over the Indian Ocean, and we will likely need to watch for CAG formation once the MJO enters phase 8/1. So far I have been wrong on every poll like this though.

Abdullah · #3 Postby **Abdullah** » Sun May 17, 2020 12:55 pm

CyclonicFury wrote:Voted June 1-10, there appears to be a MJO/CCKW starting over the Indian Ocean, and we will likely need to watch for CAG formation once the MJO enters phase 8/1. So far I have been wrong on every poll like this though.

I voted the same because I had a hunch.

Kat5 · #4 Postby **Kat5** » Sun May 17, 2020 12:58 pm

June 11-20th sounds good to me.

#5 Postby **Yellow Evan** » Sun May 17, 2020 1:59 pm

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1261965392165158912

#6 Postby **AnnularCane** » Sun May 17, 2020 2:09 pm

I was originally thinking July (not sure why though...maybe 2008 on the brain?), but now I think I'll go with June, although I'm not sure what date range.

Chris90 · #7 Postby **Chris90** » Sun May 17, 2020 5:39 pm

I voted June 1-10th. I think we'll manage to pull off 2 storms in June.
I'll throw in Cristobal for June 11-20th as a bonus vote.

aspen · #8 Postby **aspen** » Sun May 17, 2020 6:19 pm

I can’t decide between a dead June like 2018 and 2019, or an early June system forming in the Gulf or western Caribbean due to that Kelvin wave.

TheStormExpert · #9 Postby **TheStormExpert** » Sun May 17, 2020 9:25 pm

I'm going with the first week of June in the NW Caribbean, from there it'll head NE towards Florida.

#10 Postby **chaser1** » Mon May 18, 2020 9:00 am

I'd go with June 8-12 but that isn't an option LOL

GSBHurricane · #11 Postby **GSBHurricane** » Mon May 18, 2020 6:41 pm

Voted for July 1-10

wayne1701 · #12 Postby **wayne1701** » Mon May 18, 2020 8:35 pm

Between May 18 and June 10. A monsoon spin develops over Central America from a Kelvin Wave.

Miami Storm Tracker · #13 Postby **Miami Storm Tracker** » Tue May 19, 2020 7:51 am

Morning all

Going with June 11th to the 20th, but let's really reach and say the 16th.

#14 Postby **northjaxpro** » Tue May 19, 2020 9:04 am

June 7

BadLarry95 · #15 Postby **BadLarry95** » Tue May 19, 2020 2:04 pm

Early June. NW Caribbean or the Gulf

#16 Postby **chaser1** » Wed May 20, 2020 11:03 pm

W. Caribbean June 2nd, 5:00 pm

TheStormExpert · #17 Postby **TheStormExpert** » Thu May 21, 2020 10:02 am

Whoever voted June 1st-10th or June 11th-20th has a likely decent shot of being correct.

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1263480919962206208

HurricaneEnzo · #18 Postby **HurricaneEnzo** » Thu May 21, 2020 3:13 pm

Got Arthur right with a May prediction. Going June 1-10 for Bertha. Likely a CAG spawned system.

plasticup · #19 Postby **plasticup** » Thu May 21, 2020 3:44 pm

GFS is popping around the 10 day mark - I think we'll see something May 30/31

#20 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 22, 2020 8:17 pm

Good participation so far with 69 entries to the poll but time is running out for those who have not voted as the poll closes next Sunday at 1:41 PM EDT.