chaser1 wrote:W. Caribbean June 2nd, 5:00 pm
What? No co-ordinates
When will Bertha form?
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AtlanticWind
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Re: When will Bertha form?
What? No co-ordinates
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Re: When will Bertha form?
AtlanticWind wrote:chaser1 wrote:W. Caribbean June 2nd, 5:00 pm
What? No co-ordinates
In a hurry I wrote them on my mask. I can't seem to find the damn thing anywhere?!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: When will Bertha form?
if we look at the Euro the last 4 runs. then something coming out of the NW carrib into the eastern gulf in the next 3 days will need to be watched.
NW carrib now has the large MLC from yesterday in the bay of campeche and a wave/trough with lots of divergence aloft.
after that..
the GFS is persistant with the large GYRE situation .. for which it does pretty well with.. so if not in the next week then probably in the next 3 weeks.
NW carrib now has the large MLC from yesterday in the bay of campeche and a wave/trough with lots of divergence aloft.
after that..
the GFS is persistant with the large GYRE situation .. for which it does pretty well with.. so if not in the next week then probably in the next 3 weeks.
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cycloneye
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Re: When will Bertha form?
The poll closes for voting today at 1:41 PM EDT so those who have not voted hurry.
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cycloneye
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Re: When will Bertha form?
Poll has closed with 79 votes with the majority on the June 1-10 option. Let's see in reallity when Bertha forms.
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Monsoonjr99
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Re: When will Bertha form?
Oops I just missed this by minutes. I'd also go with June 1 - 10 with some CAG-origin system in the W. Carib. or Gulf.
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Some Californian who codes things and tracks weather.
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TheStormExpert
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Re: When will Bertha form?
Well I was off by five days and location, thought the CAG would be the next catalyst but I guess not!
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Re: When will Bertha form?
Congrats to the 13% of people who actually got it right. The 2020 season looks like it’s shaping up to be full of surprises.
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TheAustinMan
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Re: When will Bertha form?
I guessed May 21-31 a little over a week ago, but I was mostly banking on the development of the upper-level low that's now southeast of Bermuda. About a week ago there was a moisture plume in the western Caribbean, and I had a feeling that whatever developed into Bertha would be tapping into that. Mesoscale Bertha this morning in the Carolinas didn't seem likely until it had the blessing of the mesoscale guidance beginning two days ago.
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