I'm going to say August 4. We have seen many hyperactive seasons not have their first hurricane until some time in August (such as 2004 and 2017).
Also, mods can you please make this a poll?
When do you think the first Atlantic hurricane of 2020 will form?
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CyclonicFury
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When do you think the first Atlantic hurricane of 2020 will form?
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
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cycloneye
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Re: When do you think the first Atlantic hurricane of 2020 will form?
Made the poll that will be open until June 13 at 5:49 PM EDT.
I voted July 21-31.
I voted July 21-31.
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TheStormExpert
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Re: When do you think the first Atlantic hurricane of 2020 will form?
I'm going with August 1st-10th in the Tropical Atlantic from a tropical wave. Wouldn't surprise me if this August is more active than the last two combined.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.
Re: When do you think the first Atlantic hurricane of 2020 will form?
July 11-20 in the MDR. With the Atlantic SST pattern transitioning to a +AMO, and with plenty of vigorous tropical waves already, I think we’ll have an early MDR hurricane this year like 2018.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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CYCLONE MIKE
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Re: When do you think the first Atlantic hurricane of 2020 will form?
Thinking last week of July but will probably have some weak minimal short lived hurricane for a day or so in early July. Going to take a while for things to get ripe.
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AtlanticWind
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Re: When do you think the first Atlantic hurricane of 2020 will form?
Went with july 1st to 10th
A cat 2 coming into the carribean
A cat 2 coming into the carribean
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cycloneye
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Re: When do you think the first Atlantic hurricane of 2020 will form?
The voting closed on Saturday with two options with the most votes. (July 11-20 and July 21-31)
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