This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.
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aspen wrote:Some 2010s EPac systems that I suspect hit Cat 5 intensity.
Barbara '19: I don't think I've ever seen a better W ring in the Western Hemisphere. Eye temps got rather high too. Officially 135 kt, but if recon was able to get out that far, I wouldn't be surprised if they found 145 kt.
Hector '18: I believe there was recon data to support a Cat 5 upgrade, but it has remained at 135 kt.
Norman '18: Warm eye within a somewhat ragged W ring. Officially 130 kt, but maybe could've been 140-145 kt.
Hilary '11: Had a very small eye within a solid ring of deep CMG convection. Officially 125 kt, which seems low for a system with this appearance. Did recon ever go into it?
Other Cat 4s that I suspect could've been Cat 5s (but I am doubtful about) include Rosa '18, Fernanda '17 (another compact system), Seymour '16, Olaf '15, and Amanda '14.
Looking at the image, they do like low end Category 5 hurricanes at minimum. They have winds of 140 to 150 knots.
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