2020 TCRs
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Re: 2020 TCRs (Hurricane ETA is up)
Lorenzo is a different case as the peak estimate is based on satellite data rather than recon. I do expect NHC to downgrade Matthew though.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
- AtlanticWind
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Re: 2020 TCRs (Hurricane ETA is up)
aspen wrote:Stormybajan wrote:Our Cat 5 streak is officially OVER! Iota will always be one to me, but the lack of recon and data overall has damaged the full extent of Eta's true winds however high they were, we will never know
If Iota wasn’t a Cat 5, then neither was Matthew, so therefore that record-breaking Cat 5 streak from 2016-20 (now 2016-19 after Iota’s TCR) never existed, and is still tied with the 3-year streak from 2003-05.
I never understand why so many question Matthews Cat 5 strength, The SFMR reading was deemed reliable,
It had a small 5 n mi eye and the pressure while not extremely low was enough to support a cat 5.
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- EquusStorm
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Re: 2020 TCRs (Hurricane ETA is up)
The NHC explicitly called out Matthew as one of the storms likely to have been overrated via SFMR in the Iota TCR, as the bias has been noted since Irma and note has been made of the likelihood that a few storms will have to be revisited for adjustment. With Matthew they took the SFMR at face value following the 2016 season, but starting in Irma the next year they began to document SFMR discrepancies in high end storms so that problem wasn't really noted until after Matthew; thus it's fair to question the storm since it's one of the main storms likely to be under investigation if they do SFMR research and analysis of recent high end hurricanes.
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Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.