cycloneye wrote:Tropical Storm Cristobal is up.
And it looks like a slight downgrade for the first peak to 50kts. I may be wrong but I'm pretty sure it was 55kts operationally.
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cycloneye wrote:Tropical Storm Cristobal is up.
Weather Dude wrote:cycloneye wrote:Tropical Storm Cristobal is up.
And it looks like a slight downgrade for the first peak to 50kts. I may be wrong but I'm pretty sure it was 55kts operationally.
aspen wrote:At this rate, we should see Dolly’s TCR within the next two weeks (Cristobal will likely take longer due to its 9-day life span and multiple land impacts). I’m excited to see if the NHC bumps up Dolly’s peak intensity, which I think was around 50-55 kt.
MarioProtVI wrote:aspen wrote:At this rate, we should see Dolly’s TCR within the next two weeks (Cristobal will likely take longer due to its 9-day life span and multiple land impacts). I’m excited to see if the NHC bumps up Dolly’s peak intensity, which I think was around 50-55 kt.
This aged well
aspen wrote:MarioProtVI wrote:aspen wrote:At this rate, we should see Dolly’s TCR within the next two weeks (Cristobal will likely take longer due to its 9-day life span and multiple land impacts). I’m excited to see if the NHC bumps up Dolly’s peak intensity, which I think was around 50-55 kt.
This aged well
My disappointment is immeasurable and my day is ruined.
In all seriousness, I’m surprised it was kept at 40 kt. Maybe there just wasn’t enough time for its winds to catch up with its satellite presentation.
InfernoFlameCat wrote:I believe Hurricane Hannah will get a bump to category two. I may very well be wrong but it was quite an impressive system at landfall with an eye clearing out but more importantly a pressure of 972, a borderline cat two. 85 knots is reasonable in my opinion but yet again I may be wrong.
InfernoFlameCat wrote:I've been thinking about hurricane Epsilon. The storm was large so its lower wind speeds could be attributed to the lower environmental pressure yet I still believe it may have peaked at 105 knots instead of 110. Sure it didn't have a very cold CDO but the pressure of 951 millibars speaks for itself.
NXStumpy_Robothing wrote:InfernoFlameCat wrote:I've been thinking about hurricane Epsilon. The storm was large so its lower wind speeds could be attributed to the lower environmental pressure yet I still believe it may have peaked at 105 knots instead of 110. Sure it didn't have a very cold CDO but the pressure of 951 millibars speaks for itself.
Considering that the official peak is 100kt and the recon data supported 95-100kt (which was relatively consistent and at least captured parts of the peak), I highly doubt that there is much of a change in peak intensity for Epsilon.
It's somewhat likely that there are some adjustments made while the storm was on its slow weakening trend to correct for observed differences between the estimates given and the stronger/lower pressure buoy and scatterometer readings after passing by Bermuda. I don't see much else changing when Epsilon's TCR comes out.
InfernoFlameCat wrote:I believe Hurricane Hannah will get a bump to category two. I may very well be wrong but it was quite an impressive system at landfall with an eye clearing out but more importantly a pressure of 972, a borderline cat two. 85 knots is reasonable in my opinion but yet again I may be wrong.
CrazyC83 wrote:InfernoFlameCat wrote:I believe Hurricane Hannah will get a bump to category two. I may very well be wrong but it was quite an impressive system at landfall with an eye clearing out but more importantly a pressure of 972, a borderline cat two. 85 knots is reasonable in my opinion but yet again I may be wrong.
I never saw any conclusive data supporting higher than 80 kt for Hanna, but imagine if it had another 12-24 hours over water...
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