Strong Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands (Is Invest 92L)

[ColdMiser123]

Many landfalls on the 12z EPS from New England to the Gulf.

[cycloneye]

12z EPS has still active with several members into FL also into GOM.

https://freeimage.host/i/dzifzQ

https://freeimage.host/i/dziFmx

https://freeimage.host/i/dzi3ej

The images did not open.

[SFLcane]

12z EPS has still active with several members into FL also into GOM.

https://freeimage.host/i/dzifzQ

https://freeimage.host/i/dziFmx

https://freeimage.host/i/dzi3ej

The images did not open.

Hi Luis,

Let’s try this again.

[TheStormExpert]

12z EPS has still active with several members into FL also into GOM.

https://freeimage.host/i/dzifzQ

https://freeimage.host/i/dziFmx

https://freeimage.host/i/dzi3ej

The images did not open.

Hi Luis,

Let’s try this again.

https://iili.io/dzifzQ.png

https://iili.io/dziFmx.png

https://iili.io/dzi3ej.png

Would you happen to have the Spaghetti models of the 12z EPS Ensembles on this wave SFLcane?

[cycloneye]

Spaghetti.

[SFLcane]

The images did not open.

Hi Luis,

Let’s try this again.

https://iili.io/dzifzQ.png

https://iili.io/dziFmx.png

https://iili.io/dzi3ej.png

Would you happen to have the Spaghetti models of the 12z EPS Ensembles on this wave SFLcane?

Hi sure,

[toad strangler]

lemonade

[toad strangler]

I wouldn't want to be the dude still sticking to his bearish guns this go around. Escape that agenda while you can still save some of your credibility.

 http://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/1286366444230447109

[AnnularCane]

lemonade

http://i.ibb.co/hHvytpV/n.png

When life hands you lemons...

[gatorcane]

The GFS refuses to develop this wave at least out through a week the run is out so far. The main culprit looks to be the fact the wave gets suffocated by a very dry airmass. You can see the white area where the wave is at traversing the MDR in the South-Central Atlantic. It makes climatological sense. We shall see...

[TheStormExpert]

These models are all over the place with development or without. I wonder if the pandemic has something to do with it?

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1286394605920030729

[cycloneye]

A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is expected
to move westward across the tropical Atlantic during the next
several days. Some development of this system is possible early
next week when it reaches the western tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

[SFLcane]

A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is expected
to move westward across the tropical Atlantic during the next
several days. Some development of this system is possible early
next week when it reaches the western tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Up to 30% now..

[AutoPenalti]

The GFS refuses to develop this wave at least out through a week the run is out so far. The main culprit looks to be the fact the wave gets suffocated by a very dry airmass. You can see the white area where the wave is at traversing the MDR in the South-Central Atlantic. It makes climatological sense. We shall see...

https://i.postimg.cc/Y9r8dV4q/gfs-mid-RH-atl-28.png

There is nothing climatological about this season. Models have tended to that. This wave is about to enter into a favorable phase unlike Gonzalo and future-Hanna.

[TheStormExpert]

The GFS refuses to develop this wave at least out through a week the run is out so far. The main culprit looks to be the fact the wave gets suffocated by a very dry airmass. You can see the white area where the wave is at traversing the MDR in the South-Central Atlantic. It makes climatological sense. We shall see...

https://i.postimg.cc/Y9r8dV4q/gfs-mid-RH-atl-28.png

There is nothing climatological about this season. Models have tended to that. This wave is about to enter into a favorable phase unlike Gonzalo and future-Hanna.

That's why I don't understand why the GFS won't develop it. Like someone said maybe the model has been fixed too much to not show everything that develops. Just like a few years ago it was showing phantom storms and now it doesn't.

[toad strangler]

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1286470310842245120

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1286498938606977024

[SFLcane]

From Webb on Twitter..

This easterly wave near the coast of Africa is a beast, even against the backdrop of big waves we've seen this yr. While it'll contend w/ some dry air, the subseasonal & seasonal base state + model support is so favorable, development already almost seems probable.

[tweet] https://twitter.com/webberweather/statu ... 4462410752[/tweet]

[FireRat]

and of course this monstrous wave would lead us to the 'I' storm, Isaias, ooooh...

Looks like we'll soon go from lemonade to orange juice!

[Hurricaneman]

All models are on board for development except the GFS, I’d bet against the GFS on this alone but also moves this wave much faster than every other model. I would think the GFS will come around to the other models the next day or 2 or it will either be right and all other models wrong or the GFS will bust badly again