Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
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jaxfladude
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Monsoonjr99
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
AxaltaRacing24 wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Honestly if convection persists for another 6-12 hours this would be classifiable.
yeah.
persistent convection with an LLC is a tropical cyclone. so if this holds until late tonight, why not?
Considering it's still not on the TWO, the convection would probably have to persist for at least 24 hours for NHC to bother initiating advisories on it. I can imagine them marking a 10/10 at 8 PM, reactivating 94L shortly after, then rapidly upping the chances overnight before declaring it 11L midday tomorrow. TCR would subsequently extend the formation time up to sometime this evening or early tomorrow morning. Of course if the convection poofs, forget about it.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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EquusStorm
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
It would certainly take sustained convection for a while to be considered for upgrade. Despite claims to the contrary NHC is actually very conservative and careful when upgrading systems, making absolutely certain it meets all criteria, which makes the ten we've already had pretty impressive.
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Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
Only light shear at the 200 mb level from what looks like the eastern side of high pressure.
Closer to the surface maybe 500-700 mb there is stronger shear just off to the east blowing the convection off.
Likely a very shallow pressure gradient that would take a couple days to spin back up.
Closer to the surface maybe 500-700 mb there is stronger shear just off to the east blowing the convection off.
Likely a very shallow pressure gradient that would take a couple days to spin back up.
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EquusStorm
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
Or at least for now. Still pulsing a little
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Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
Still out there this morning. It is never going to go away.
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HurricaneEnzo
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
Thing is still out there fighting. Doesn't look like anything will form but I give it an 'A' for effort lol.
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EquusStorm
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
And we're back...
...still doubting it manages to fight its way to a TD but pretty cool eye candy
...still doubting it manages to fight its way to a TD but pretty cool eye candy
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Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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northjaxpro
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
This system has been spinning around out there nearly 2 weeks now. It is challenging Gonzalo just in terms of resilience, even though it has never been designated more than just an invest.
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
This is very unusual to see when conditions are very favorable everything is gonna spin up
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Monsoonjr99
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas
Seems it has been absorbed into 96L.
In a way, it may develop after all.
In a way, it may develop after all.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Some Californian who codes things and tracks weather.
Kay '22, Hilary '23
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