Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

Laura lowest MSLP Guess

Poll ended at Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:33 pm

950 or higher
7
13%
945
10
19%
940
6
11%
935
16
30%
930
7
13%
925
3
6%
920 or lower
5
9%
 
Total votes: 54

Message
Author
User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4681
Age: 63
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#1 Postby chaser1 » Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:37 pm

Not sure how to make this into a poll but thought it would be interesting to "guesstimate" Laura's lowest MB (pressure in millibars).

I'll go with 927mb
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



St0rmTh0r
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 369
Joined: Tue Jul 14, 2020 8:04 pm

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#2 Postby St0rmTh0r » Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:40 pm

I think it will be similar to Michaels if it goes further west 920mb.
Last edited by St0rmTh0r on Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

Camerooski
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 46
Joined: Wed Aug 08, 2018 5:40 pm
Location: Lauderdale-By-the-Sea ---> Coral Gables

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#3 Postby Camerooski » Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:41 pm

933
0 likes   

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14933
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#4 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:41 pm

920s is not out of the question tonight. IMO.
0 likes   

User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1615
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#5 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:43 pm

929mb
0 likes   

User avatar
Ubuntwo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1089
Age: 30
Joined: Thu Oct 05, 2017 10:41 pm

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#6 Postby Ubuntwo » Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:46 pm

955mb since everyone else's guesses are so clustered. A much stronger storm is obviously on the table but who knows I could luck out :D
0 likes   
Kendall -> SLO -> PBC

Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma

NXStumpy_Robothing
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 325
Age: 23
Joined: Fri Jun 05, 2020 11:50 pm
Location: North Georgia

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#7 Postby NXStumpy_Robothing » Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:51 pm

I'm going to say 915mb, but this reading isn't at the coast - thinking an EWRC starts a bit before landfall, bringing up its central pressure by 10-15mb (if not more).
0 likes   
Undergraduate Meteorology Student, Georgia Institute of Technology

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8057
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#8 Postby aspen » Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:54 pm

I’m going with a possibly conservative 925 mbar.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

AveryTheComrade
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 76
Joined: Fri Jul 10, 2020 9:19 pm

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#9 Postby AveryTheComrade » Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:02 pm

950 - 930mb
0 likes   

User avatar
Kiko Snowe
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 12
Joined: Wed May 27, 2020 10:11 pm

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#10 Postby Kiko Snowe » Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:06 pm

I'm gonna go conservative compared to the rest of the thread and go 959 mb.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7281
Age: 43
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#11 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:12 pm

937, similar to Harvey in 2017
1 likes   

User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4681
Age: 63
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#12 Postby chaser1 » Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:33 pm

Okay, so far NXStumpy_Robothing has the lowest estimate at 915 mg. I'll be honest, my mind first went there before settling on a bit higher pressure. Potentially though..... I could see lower yet.
Last edited by chaser1 on Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#13 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:33 pm

poll created
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8487
Age: 30
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#14 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:50 pm

I’m going with 950mb, give or take some.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
FireRat
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1138
Age: 36
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 11:38 pm
Location: North Carolina

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#15 Postby FireRat » Mon Aug 24, 2020 10:25 pm

Going with a bit extreme 915 mb, I can see this thing going for Cat 5 in the Gulf between late on 8/25 thru the 27th. RI possible tomorrow 8/25 IMO.
0 likes   
Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22

User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1915
Age: 21
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg VA for college, Bermuda otherwise

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#16 Postby Kazmit » Mon Aug 24, 2020 10:29 pm

939mb, 145mph winds
0 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4529
Age: 23
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#17 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Aug 24, 2020 10:30 pm

Going with 930mb/150mph
0 likes   
I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

Boomer Sooner!

User avatar
Beef Stew
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 284
Joined: Sat May 30, 2020 11:31 am
Location: South Florida

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#18 Postby Beef Stew » Mon Aug 24, 2020 11:19 pm

I'm going with 934 mb... and I don't think she's the deepest system, perhaps not even in the gulf, that we end up seeing this season.
Last edited by Beef Stew on Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   

Chris90
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 637
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Jun 01, 2017 9:36 pm

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#19 Postby Chris90 » Mon Aug 24, 2020 11:54 pm

937mb/120kts, sometime during the Advisory #28 period.
0 likes   
Solar Aquarian
Lunar Cancerian
:uarrow: Sagittarian

User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5594
Age: 40
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:

Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#20 Postby Hammy » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:16 am

Somewhere between 945-955.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Beef Stew, Cpv17 and 189 guests