How many major hurricanes do you think 2020 will produce?
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How many major hurricanes do you think 2020 will produce?
As of Sept 8 we have had 1 major out of 17 named storms.We have not had a long tracking major. Will this year even be considered hyperactive by the strict definition?
Last edited by Dean_175 on Tue Sep 08, 2020 9:49 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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All posts by Dean_175 are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: How many major hurricanes do you think 2020 will produce?
I think one more in September, maybe from the wave emerging off Africa.
October could also feature a nasty surprise from the Caribbean.
October could also feature a nasty surprise from the Caribbean.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
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shiny-pebble
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Re: How many major hurricanes do you think 2020 will produce?
I think around 4 or 5. One or maybe two as a CV storm, maybe another in the subtropics, and a WCAR storm in October/November
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Not an meteorologist! Just someone who is interested in weather. Please refer to the NHC and local weather officials to make decisions.
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Re: How many major hurricanes do you think 2020 will produce?
Definitely 4-6. Paulette and Rene are legit just the start of a very active and long Cape Verde season (which sounds completely INSANE considering this is the P and R named storms we’re talking about!). No reason to cancel Cape Verde over these two.
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Re: How many major hurricanes do you think 2020 will produce?
Paulette and Rene are struggling, but the former could find a much more favorable environment after 4-5 days. I wouldn’t count against the chance of Paulette trying to rapidly intensify S/SE of Bermuda like what some of the models were showing yesterday. Future Sally has an even better chance of becoming a major and avoiding the problems that have plagued Paulette and Rene.
After that, we’ll still have the second half of September to go with plenty more waves ready to roll off the coast of Africa. October could be active as well, and we will likely need to watch out for a home-grown monster like Opal, Wilma, or Michael. Taking all of this into account, I’m thinking the season will end with 4-6 majors, including 1 Category 5.
After that, we’ll still have the second half of September to go with plenty more waves ready to roll off the coast of Africa. October could be active as well, and we will likely need to watch out for a home-grown monster like Opal, Wilma, or Michael. Taking all of this into account, I’m thinking the season will end with 4-6 majors, including 1 Category 5.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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ElectricStorm
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Re: How many major hurricanes do you think 2020 will produce?
I'm going with 5, not including Paulette and Rene, so if one of them were to become one then it would be 6. I think the Africa wave will become one, plus maybe another one before the end of the month. What has really concerned me this season is the number of intensifying storms right at landfall. I think the end of September and October will produce more of those, some of them being majors.
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Boomer Sooner!
Boomer Sooner!
Re: How many major hurricanes do you think 2020 will produce?
I am certain we'll at least one each in September and October and there might be another in late September (who could've foreseen Lorenzo) so 3-4 total, which is typical of what you'd find in an above average year.
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The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.