ronjon wrote:Loveweather12 wrote:Aren’t conditions good down there?
Yeah UKMET is pretty good at sniffing out genesis unlike some models that start with a G!
I was about to post that the UKMET has only a weak low and not TC genesis. But then when I looked at the latest output (12Z run), I realized I actually had lost track and not yet seen the newest run, which for the first time really does have a bonafide TD (1001 mb) in the NW Bahamas moving NE:
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 23.8N 80.6W
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.10.2020 132 23.8N 80.6W 1002 28
1200UTC 25.10.2020 144 25.1N 78.7W 1001 31