Area of disturbed weather entering the Caribbean (Is Invest 96L)

[TheStormExpert]

Hopefully this means see y’all next season!

This was said for Alpha Beta, Zeta & countless other storms and look where we are. To. Soon. To . Sound. All. Clear.

Not this time. Zeta will probably be the last storm to threaten the northern Gulf Coast and maybe the U.S. for that matter.

[TheStormExpert]

GFS-Para, WHAT ARE YOU DOING???

https://i.imgur.com/Q41s6Y2.gif

I want to know what that model is on?

[cycloneye]

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next few days. Some slow
development of this system is possible over the weekend or early
next week while it is nearly stationary over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[underthwx]

GFS-Para, WHAT ARE YOU DOING???

https://i.imgur.com/Q41s6Y2.gif

I want to know what that model is on?

I hope that is just an illusion!....lol

[TheStormExpert]

Lol the storm hasn't even formed yet and people are already saying end of season for Florida... We all know how much a track can change. Remember when Zeta was supposed to go out over the Bahamas? Yeah... Good times

Climatology doesn’t favor anything striking Florida in November.

[AutoPenalti]

GFS-Para, WHAT ARE YOU DOING???

https://i.imgur.com/Q41s6Y2.gif

It's 2020. It's possible.

[underthwx]

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next few days. Some slow
development of this system is possible over the weekend or early
next week while it is nearly stationary over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

It's deja vu all over again!...sure enough....yet another to watch....2K is on overdrive

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

Lol the storm hasn't even formed yet and people are already saying end of season for Florida... We all know how much a track can change. Remember when Zeta was supposed to go out over the Bahamas? Yeah... Good times

Climatology doesn’t favor anything striking Florida in November.

Considering we have an intensifying hurricane approaching the Louisiana coast on the 28th of October, I think a strict adherence to climatology should be discouraged.

[GeneratorPower]

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next few days. Some slow
development of this system is possible over the weekend or early
next week while it is nearly stationary over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

It's deja vu all over again!...sure enough....yet another to watch....2K is on overdrive

Louisiana coast. 75 mph. Final answer.

[SconnieCane]

Lol the storm hasn't even formed yet and people are already saying end of season for Florida... We all know how much a track can change. Remember when Zeta was supposed to go out over the Bahamas? Yeah... Good times

Climatology doesn’t favor anything striking Florida in November.

How about striking the Yucatan and Louisiana at the end of October?

[FireRat]

It's funny how we go from one day where most people are concerned about FL to another one when some want to say it's over for the US and FL. Granted, we're almost into November, so this crowd could end up being right...

but then again, FL could get a Thanksgiving hurricane in a year like this!! It's probably not going to be truly over until December. Weird year we're in, just look at Zeta... taking a track similar to Late Sept - Early Oct, 4 weeks later than normal.

Time will tell who's right, but please don't forget about Central America or Cuba, they are the ones who could be facing a real serious threat in early Nov. IMO, this potential system is still a huge concern for the Caribbean.

[Loveweather12]

Lol the storm hasn't even formed yet and people are already saying end of season for Florida... We all know how much a track can change. Remember when Zeta was supposed to go out over the Bahamas? Yeah... Good times

Climatology doesn’t favor anything striking Florida in November.

Climo doesn’t favor LA getting hit in October. Come on now..

[jaxfladude]

GFS-Para, WHAT ARE YOU DOING???

IT'S drunk on Halloween themed adult beverage! Lol

[underthwx]

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next few days. Some slow
development of this system is possible over the weekend or early
next week while it is nearly stationary over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

It's deja vu all over again!...sure enough....yet another to watch....2K is on overdrive

Louisiana coast. 75 mph. Final answer.

Who said anything about that my friend?....

[underthwx]

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next few days. Some slow
development of this system is possible over the weekend or early
next week while it is nearly stationary over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

It's deja vu all over again!...sure enough....yet another to watch....2K is on overdrive

Louisiana coast. 75 mph. Final answer.

To clarify.... I was not suggesting at all, that this is destined to strike Louisiana, or anywhere, I reread my post, and I worded it wrong, by deja vu, I only meant that another low is expected to form....I apologise if any of you thought I meant otherwise....I felt the need to make this clear....I am sorry

[SFLcane]

GEFS ensembles paint a completely different picture then op.

[aspen]

06z Para is on all of the drugs. Things are normal until Eta’s demise, when it forms Theta from its remnants and some extra vorticity in the WCar. Theta loops around Cuba and the Gulf and becomes a major, and then towards the end of the run, Iota and Kappa form on opposite sides of the Greater Antilles.

[supercane4867]

LOL. 2020 has truly been impressive.

[northjaxpro]

It's funny how we go from one day where most people are concerned about FL to another one when some want to say it's over for the US and FL. Granted, we're almost into November, so this crowd could end up being right...

but then again, FL could get a Thanksgiving hurricane in a year like this!! It's probably not going to be truly over until December. Weird year we're in, just look at Zeta... taking a track similar to Late Sept - Early Oct, 4 weeks later than normal.

Time will tell who's right, but please don't forget about Central America or Cuba, they are the ones who could be facing a real serious threat in early Nov. IMO, this potential system is still a huge concern for the Caribbean.

The post of the day!!!!! I could not have expressed this any better!

[AutoPenalti]

LOL. 2020 has truly been impressive.

https://i.imgur.com/4YrA5t4.png

November 13th... lol