2021 WPAC Season

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Hayabusa
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2021 WPAC Season

#1 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Dec 25, 2020 1:24 am

Goni was the strongest October typhoon in 1 min wind since the 1970 beating 165 knot Tip. I wouldn't be surprised if another 170 knot typhoon forms in 2021. If that happens the 2020's decade would tie with the 2010's decade for the most 170 knot typhoons (Haiyan, Meranti, Goni, ???) since the 1970, not to mention there were no reliable 170 knot typhoons until the 2010's. I wouldn't be surprised too if the first ever operational/post-analysis greater than 170 knot typhoon forms this decade overall in the satellite era.



Unless there is a last minute named storm in 2020 these are the 2021 names from wikipedia


Dujuan (unused)
Surigae (unused)
Choi-wan (unused)
Koguma (unused)
Champi (unused)
In-fa (unused)
Cempaka (unused)
Nepartak (unused)
Lupit (unused)
Mirinae (unused)
Nida (unused)
Omais (unused)
Conson (unused)
Chanthu (unused)
Dianmu (unused)
Mindulle (unused)
Lionrock (unused)
Kompasu (unused)
Namtheun (unused)
Malou (unused)
Nyatoh (unused)
Rai (unused)
Malakas (unused)
Megi (unused)
Chaba (unused)
Aere (unused)
Songda (unused)
Trases (unused)


Just like 2020 there are pretty big names in the list. Well what do you think 2021 would bring in the Northwestern Pacific? Happy holidays.
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aspen
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Re: 2021 WPAC Season

#2 Postby aspen » Fri Dec 25, 2020 11:34 am

Nepartek really should have been retired after the 2016 season. A monster Cat 5 with a multi-billion dollar damage total...it’s practically begging for retirement. I’ll bet that Nepartek ‘21 will be a weak slop system, similar to Nuri ‘20 vs Nuri ‘14.
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Re: 2021 WPAC Season

#3 Postby GSBHurricane » Fri Dec 25, 2020 2:43 pm

aspen wrote:Nepartek really should have been retired after the 2016 season. A monster Cat 5 with a multi-billion dollar damage total...it’s practically begging for retirement. I’ll bet that Nepartek ‘21 will be a weak slop system, similar to Nuri ‘20 vs Nuri ‘14.

I think it was because it was overshadowed by Meranti in China later that year. I could be wrong.
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Re: 2021 WPAC Season

#4 Postby NXStumpy_Robothing » Fri Dec 25, 2020 3:03 pm

GSBHurricane wrote:
aspen wrote:Nepartek really should have been retired after the 2016 season. A monster Cat 5 with a multi-billion dollar damage total...it’s practically begging for retirement. I’ll bet that Nepartek ‘21 will be a weak slop system, similar to Nuri ‘20 vs Nuri ‘14.

I think it was because it was overshadowed by Meranti in China later that year. I could be wrong.

Unfortunately, the WPAC region tends to not retire systems that are particularly impactful in Taiwan if they also do not go on to affect a different area due to the complicated geopolitical issue of the island. Since Taiwan does not have an official representative at the WMO, and China often chooses to ignore systems that cause great impact on the island, this leads to storms like Nepartek not getting retired, even though they're systems that would be worthy of retirement had they impacted an island of Japan or the Philippines instead. It's a crappy situation.
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Re: 2021 WPAC Season

#5 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Sat Dec 26, 2020 4:41 am

Probably another slow, below-average season just like past ones preceded by a moderate-strong La Nina.
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Re: 2021 WPAC Season

#6 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Jan 01, 2021 7:06 pm

Levi Cowan creator of Tropical Tidbits now works for the JTWC. Finally, I can't wait for prognostic reasoning and fixes from him on WPAC storms
 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1344818178984067073


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